Senegal enters the 2027 AFCON qualifier in Ethiopia as the clear favorite due to its superior squad depth and experience, with players such as Nicolas Jackson, Ismaila Sarr, Idrissa Gueye, and Kalidou Koulibaly providing a significant edge over Ethiopia’s more limited roster. Senegal opened its Group J campaign with a 1-1 draw away to Mozambique under new coach Patrick Vieira, while Ethiopia fell 0-1 to Sudan in its opener. The visitors have historically dominated encounters between the sides, and Ethiopia’s recent form in qualifiers has been inconsistent despite advancing from the preliminary round. Home advantage at Bahir Dar Stadium offers Ethiopia some support, yet the talent gap and Senegal’s attacking options position a Senegal victory as the market’s leading outcome at 60.5% implied probability.