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icon for Will Banksy post to Instagram by September 30?

Will Banksy post to Instagram by September 30?

icon for Will Banksy post to Instagram by September 30?

Will Banksy post to Instagram by September 30?

30% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
30% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy) publishes a new post between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying content includes only feed posts (single image, carousel, or video). Comments, replies, Notes, direct messages, stories, live broadcasts, profile picture changes, bio or link changes, and edits to previously published content will not qualify. Posts will qualify regardless of later deletion. Content published before market creation will not qualify, including previously published content that is unarchived, restored, or otherwise reappears on the account within this market's timeframe. The resolution source for this market will be content publicly visible on the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy).Banksy’s verified Instagram account has maintained a pattern of infrequent posts, with the most recent confirmed activity on September 18 addressing a Guess collaboration dispute and no subsequent updates through September 20. Traders price the “No” outcome at 71% implied probability because the artist’s social media cadence aligns with major street-art reveals or statements rather than routine engagement, and the remaining ten days lack announced catalysts such as new murals or public controversies. Historical gaps between posts and the account’s stable total of 154 entries reinforce expectations of continued silence through month-end, though an unexpected installation could still shift momentum.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy) publishes a new post between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying content includes only feed posts (single image, carousel, or video). Comments, replies, Notes, direct messages, stories, live broadcasts, profile picture changes, bio or link changes, and edits to previously published content will not qualify.

Posts will qualify regardless of later deletion.

Content published before market creation will not qualify, including previously published content that is unarchived, restored, or otherwise reappears on the account within this market's timeframe.

The resolution source for this market will be content publicly visible on the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy) publishes a new post between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying content includes only feed posts (single image, carousel, or video). Comments, replies, Notes, direct messages, stories, live broadcasts, profile picture changes, bio or link changes, and edits to previously published content will not qualify. Posts will qualify regardless of later deletion. Content published before market creation will not qualify, including previously published content that is unarchived, restored, or otherwise reappears on the account within this market's timeframe. The resolution source for this market will be content publicly visible on the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy).
Обсяг
$1,381
Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.instagram.com/banksy/

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy) publishes a new post between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying content includes only feed posts (single image, carousel, or video). Comments, replies, Notes, direct messages, stories, live broadcasts, profile picture changes, bio or link changes, and edits to previously published content will not qualify. Posts will qualify regardless of later deletion. Content published before market creation will not qualify, including previously published content that is unarchived, restored, or otherwise reappears on the account within this market's timeframe. The resolution source for this market will be content publicly visible on the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy).Banksy’s verified Instagram account has maintained a pattern of infrequent posts, with the most recent confirmed activity on September 18 addressing a Guess collaboration dispute and no subsequent updates through September 20. Traders price the “No” outcome at 71% implied probability because the artist’s social media cadence aligns with major street-art reveals or statements rather than routine engagement, and the remaining ten days lack announced catalysts such as new murals or public controversies. Historical gaps between posts and the account’s stable total of 154 entries reinforce expectations of continued silence through month-end, though an unexpected installation could still shift momentum.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy) publishes a new post between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying content includes only feed posts (single image, carousel, or video). Comments, replies, Notes, direct messages, stories, live broadcasts, profile picture changes, bio or link changes, and edits to previously published content will not qualify.

Posts will qualify regardless of later deletion.

Content published before market creation will not qualify, including previously published content that is unarchived, restored, or otherwise reappears on the account within this market's timeframe.

The resolution source for this market will be content publicly visible on the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy) publishes a new post between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying content includes only feed posts (single image, carousel, or video). Comments, replies, Notes, direct messages, stories, live broadcasts, profile picture changes, bio or link changes, and edits to previously published content will not qualify. Posts will qualify regardless of later deletion. Content published before market creation will not qualify, including previously published content that is unarchived, restored, or otherwise reappears on the account within this market's timeframe. The resolution source for this market will be content publicly visible on the official Banksy Instagram account (@banksy).
Обсяг
$1,381
Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:12 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.instagram.com/banksy/

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will Banksy post to Instagram by September 30?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 30% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 30¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 30%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Will Banksy post to Instagram by September 30?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Sep 2, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Will Banksy post to Instagram by September 30?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Will Banksy post to Instagram by September 30?» — 30% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 30% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Will Banksy post to Instagram by September 30?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.