**Trader consensus strongly favors "No" (95.2% implied probability) that Avengers: Doomsday will avoid further delays beyond its December 18, 2026 release date.** Principal photography wrapped in September 2025 after a May 2025 schedule shift from May 2026 to the current holiday slot, with additional photography and extensive post-production now well underway. Directors Anthony and Joe Russo have described the edit as complex and ongoing but progressing, while marketing momentum—including multiple trailers, SDCC footage, and an Endgame re-release with exclusive looks—signals Disney and Marvel are locked into the date. The film’s massive ensemble, VFX demands, and back-to-back Secret Wars production have already been accommodated by the prior adjustment, aligning with Bob Iger’s emphasis on quality over speed. Realistic upset scenarios remain narrow this close to release. Late-stage VFX or editorial issues could theoretically force a slip, though the current runway and lack of reported crises make this improbable. External factors like unforeseen labor issues or competitive date jockeying (e.g., with Dune: Messiah) are possible but have not materialized. With tickets on sale, screenings planned, and no credible new rumors surfacing, the market reflects aggregated trader assessment of a production that appears firmly on track.