**Close bilateral security cooperation under Colombia’s new right-wing President Abelardo de la Espriella has shaped trader consensus on low odds for a US-initiated strike on Colombian soil by year-end.** De la Espriella, inaugurated in August 2026, has prioritized joint counter-narcotics efforts with the Trump administration, including US provision of MQ-9 Reaper drones, intelligence sharing, and Colombia’s entry into the Shield of the Americas coalition targeting Pacific trafficking routes and border groups. US Southern Command visits and discussions of Plan Patriota 2.0 have advanced equipment transfers and possible joint operations against groups such as the ELN, while Colombian forces conduct their own airstrikes. US actions to date have focused on suspected drug vessels in international waters rather than Colombian territory. Upcoming factors include further equipment deliveries, coalition coordination meetings, and any shifts in cartel or guerrilla activity that could alter operational needs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$2,191,715 Обс.
Jan 30, 2026
31 грудня
17%
$2,191,715 Обс.
31 грудня
$1,114,500 Обс.
17%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.**Close bilateral security cooperation under Colombia’s new right-wing President Abelardo de la Espriella has shaped trader consensus on low odds for a US-initiated strike on Colombian soil by year-end.** De la Espriella, inaugurated in August 2026, has prioritized joint counter-narcotics efforts with the Trump administration, including US provision of MQ-9 Reaper drones, intelligence sharing, and Colombia’s entry into the Shield of the Americas coalition targeting Pacific trafficking routes and border groups. US Southern Command visits and discussions of Plan Patriota 2.0 have advanced equipment transfers and possible joint operations against groups such as the ELN, while Colombian forces conduct their own airstrikes. US actions to date have focused on suspected drug vessels in international waters rather than Colombian territory. Upcoming factors include further equipment deliveries, coalition coordination meetings, and any shifts in cartel or guerrilla activity that could alter operational needs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 4, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,191,715Дата завершення
Jan 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 2:46 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.**Close bilateral security cooperation under Colombia’s new right-wing President Abelardo de la Espriella has shaped trader consensus on low odds for a US-initiated strike on Colombian soil by year-end.** De la Espriella, inaugurated in August 2026, has prioritized joint counter-narcotics efforts with the Trump administration, including US provision of MQ-9 Reaper drones, intelligence sharing, and Colombia’s entry into the Shield of the Americas coalition targeting Pacific trafficking routes and border groups. US Southern Command visits and discussions of Plan Patriota 2.0 have advanced equipment transfers and possible joint operations against groups such as the ELN, while Colombian forces conduct their own airstrikes. US actions to date have focused on suspected drug vessels in international waters rather than Colombian territory. Upcoming factors include further equipment deliveries, coalition coordination meetings, and any shifts in cartel or guerrilla activity that could alter operational needs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Обсяг
$2,191,715Дата завершення
Jan 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 2:46 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...**Close bilateral security cooperation under Colombia’s new right-wing President Abelardo de la Espriella has shaped trader consensus on low odds for a US-initiated strike on Colombian soil by year-end.** De la Espriella, inaugurated in August 2026, has prioritized joint counter-narcotics efforts with the Trump administration, including US provision of MQ-9 Reaper drones, intelligence sharing, and Colombia’s entry into the Shield of the Americas coalition targeting Pacific trafficking routes and border groups. US Southern Command visits and discussions of Plan Patriota 2.0 have advanced equipment transfers and possible joint operations against groups such as the ELN, while Colombian forces conduct their own airstrikes. US actions to date have focused on suspected drug vessels in international waters rather than Colombian territory. Upcoming factors include further equipment deliveries, coalition coordination meetings, and any shifts in cartel or guerrilla activity that could alter operational needs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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