Ukraine's constitution bars national elections during martial law, which has been renewed every 90 days since the 2022 Russian invasion and stands extended through October 31, 2026. This structural barrier, combined with active combat, Russian strikes on infrastructure, and millions of displaced citizens, has kept presidential and parliamentary votes on hold despite the expiration of President Zelenskyy's five-year term in 2024. Recent internal pressure includes former Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov's August 2026 call for wartime elections amid cabinet reshuffles and corruption investigations eroding Zelenskyy's polling support. Trader consensus reflects these constraints, pricing near-term elections as low-probability events while monitoring any post-October shifts in martial law status or security conditions that could enable a vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWorking group presents draft legislation for post-war elections
December 31, 2026 dips to 9%1%
On March 20, 2026, Ukrainian lawmakers and partners presented outcomes of a working group preparing legislative proposals for organizing elections during a special period or post-war. This indicated technical preparation but no immediate election scheduling, maintaining market skepticism about elections in 2025-26.
Public opinion strongly opposes elections during wartime
December 31, 2026 dips to 10%1%
Surveys from 2023 showed that a majority of Ukrainians opposed holding presidential or parliamentary elections until the war was over, supporting the political stance against elections during martial law and influencing market sentiment.




Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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