Recent share price momentum around $375–$379, driven by progress on Full Self-Driving regulatory approvals in Europe and Optimus robot supply-chain advances, underpins the 31.5% market-implied probability attached to a weekly close above $385. Trader consensus reflects Tesla’s elevated valuation multiples amid AI and autonomy catalysts, offset by ongoing legal proceedings, limited FSD licensing traction, and broader EV sector pressures. With earnings scheduled for October 21 and no dominant outcome exceeding 32%, positioning across the $340–$385 bands highlights sensitivity to near-term volume, macroeconomic data, and any incremental robotaxi or regulatory updates that could shift implied odds before Friday’s resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено>$385 32%
$375-$380 19%
$380-$385 18%
$370-$375 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 25, 2026
<$340
10%
$340-$345
10%
$345-$350
6%
$350-$355
7%
$355-$360
8%
$360-$365
7%
$365-$370
10%
$370-$375
17%
$375-$380
19%
$380-$385
18%
>$385
32%
>$385 32%
$375-$380 19%
$380-$385 18%
$370-$375 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 25, 2026
<$340
$0 Обс.
10%
$340-$345
$5 Обс.
10%
$345-$350
$0 Обс.
6%
$350-$355
$0 Обс.
7%
$355-$360
$0 Обс.
8%
$360-$365
$0 Обс.
7%
$365-$370
$0 Обс.
10%
$370-$375
$0 Обс.
17%
$375-$380
$0 Обс.
19%
$380-$385
$0 Обс.
18%
>$385
$0 Обс.
32%
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.Recent share price momentum around $375–$379, driven by progress on Full Self-Driving regulatory approvals in Europe and Optimus robot supply-chain advances, underpins the 31.5% market-implied probability attached to a weekly close above $385. Trader consensus reflects Tesla’s elevated valuation multiples amid AI and autonomy catalysts, offset by ongoing legal proceedings, limited FSD licensing traction, and broader EV sector pressures. With earnings scheduled for October 21 and no dominant outcome exceeding 32%, positioning across the $340–$385 bands highlights sensitivity to near-term volume, macroeconomic data, and any incremental robotaxi or regulatory updates that could shift implied odds before Friday’s resolution.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Обсяг
$5Дата завершення
Sep 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.Recent share price momentum around $375–$379, driven by progress on Full Self-Driving regulatory approvals in Europe and Optimus robot supply-chain advances, underpins the 31.5% market-implied probability attached to a weekly close above $385. Trader consensus reflects Tesla’s elevated valuation multiples amid AI and autonomy catalysts, offset by ongoing legal proceedings, limited FSD licensing traction, and broader EV sector pressures. With earnings scheduled for October 21 and no dominant outcome exceeding 32%, positioning across the $340–$385 bands highlights sensitivity to near-term volume, macroeconomic data, and any incremental robotaxi or regulatory updates that could shift implied odds before Friday’s resolution.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Обсяг
$5Дата завершення
Sep 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent share price momentum around $375–$379, driven by progress on Full Self-Driving regulatory approvals in Europe and Optimus robot supply-chain advances, underpins the 31.5% market-implied probability attached to a weekly close above $385. Trader consensus reflects Tesla’s elevated valuation multiples amid AI and autonomy catalysts, offset by ongoing legal proceedings, limited FSD licensing traction, and broader EV sector pressures. With earnings scheduled for October 21 and no dominant outcome exceeding 32%, positioning across the $340–$385 bands highlights sensitivity to near-term volume, macroeconomic data, and any incremental robotaxi or regulatory updates that could shift implied odds before Friday’s resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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