Recent New York Times/Siena and other late-cycle polls show Democratic candidates Sherrod Brown leading Jon Husted by 2–5 points in the Ohio special Senate election and James Talarico ahead of Ken Paxton by 3–7 points in the Texas open-seat race, with both contests rated toss-ups or lean Democratic by forecasters. These consistent advantages in battleground polling, combined with heavy ad spending and voter focus on economic issues, have elevated the implied probability of a Democratic sweep to 69.5% among traders. The lower prices on Republican sweep outcomes and split results reflect the limited polling support for GOP candidates in either state just before the November 3 elections.