Recent polling shows the Iowa Senate race between Republican Ashley Hinson and Democrat Josh Turek remaining a toss-up, with averages near even, while Democrat Rob Sand holds a modest lead over Republican Zach Lahn in the open governor contest. Both contests feature open seats in a state that favored Republicans by double digits in the prior presidential election, yet strong Democratic nominees and voter concerns over local issues have kept the races competitive. This dynamic supports elevated market prices on split outcomes such as Democrats taking the governorship while Republicans hold the Senate seat, alongside substantial probability on other combinations, as traders weigh the limited correlation between the two results ahead of the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоDems win Gov, Reps win Senate 48%
Dems sweep 40%
Reps sweep 16%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 2.8%
$10,794 Обс.
$10,794 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
48%
Dems sweep
40%
Reps sweep
16%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
3%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 48%
Dems sweep 40%
Reps sweep 16%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 2.8%
$10,794 Обс.
$10,794 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
$3,923 Обс.
48%
Dems sweep
$3,172 Обс.
40%
Reps sweep
$2,932 Обс.
16%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
$767 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Recent polling shows the Iowa Senate race between Republican Ashley Hinson and Democrat Josh Turek remaining a toss-up, with averages near even, while Democrat Rob Sand holds a modest lead over Republican Zach Lahn in the open governor contest. Both contests feature open seats in a state that favored Republicans by double digits in the prior presidential election, yet strong Democratic nominees and voter concerns over local issues have kept the races competitive. This dynamic supports elevated market prices on split outcomes such as Democrats taking the governorship while Republicans hold the Senate seat, alongside substantial probability on other combinations, as traders weigh the limited correlation between the two results ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 11:06 AM ET
Обсяг
$10,794Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 11:06 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Recent polling shows the Iowa Senate race between Republican Ashley Hinson and Democrat Josh Turek remaining a toss-up, with averages near even, while Democrat Rob Sand holds a modest lead over Republican Zach Lahn in the open governor contest. Both contests feature open seats in a state that favored Republicans by double digits in the prior presidential election, yet strong Democratic nominees and voter concerns over local issues have kept the races competitive. This dynamic supports elevated market prices on split outcomes such as Democrats taking the governorship while Republicans hold the Senate seat, alongside substantial probability on other combinations, as traders weigh the limited correlation between the two results ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Iowa that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$10,794Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 11:06 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Iowa Senate race between Republican Ashley Hinson and Democrat Josh Turek remaining a toss-up, with averages near even, while Democrat Rob Sand holds a modest lead over Republican Zach Lahn in the open governor contest. Both contests feature open seats in a state that favored Republicans by double digits in the prior presidential election, yet strong Democratic nominees and voter concerns over local issues have kept the races competitive. This dynamic supports elevated market prices on split outcomes such as Democrats taking the governorship while Republicans hold the Senate seat, alongside substantial probability on other combinations, as traders weigh the limited correlation between the two results ahead of the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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