Skip to main content

Щоб торгувати в США, перейдіть на polymarket.us

icon for Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Політика·Вибори в США

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

icon for Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Політика·Вибори в США

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Below 190 24%

195-199 15%

200-204 14.9%

190-194 14%

Polymarket

$292,738 Обс.

Below 190 24%

195-199 15%

200-204 14.9%

190-194 14%

Polymarket

$292,738 Обс.

Below 190

$36,096 Обс.

24%

190-194

$14,137 Обс.

14%

195-199

$32,995 Обс.

15%

200-204

$25,683 Обс.

15%

205-209

$41,117 Обс.

13%

210-214

$15,803 Обс.

11%

215-219

$11,510 Обс.

7%

220-224

$59,368 Обс.

3%

225-229

$24,767 Обс.

5%

230+

$31,262 Обс.

3%

This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026. The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republican prospects for retaining House seats in the 2026 midterms reflect a balance between the historical tendency for the president's party to lose ground and structural advantages from recent redistricting. Generic ballot polling and approval trends have favored Democrats in competitive districts, yet Republican-led map changes in states such as Texas and Florida have added several favorable seats while Democratic responses in California partially offset those gains. With roughly two months until Election Day, only a limited number of races remain truly competitive, keeping implied probabilities distributed across multiple seat ranges near 190-210. Late shifts in national conditions, candidate performance in targeted districts, or turnout patterns could narrow the range by moving marginal seats.

This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.

Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.

House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026. The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$292,738
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026. The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republican prospects for retaining House seats in the 2026 midterms reflect a balance between the historical tendency for the president's party to lose ground and structural advantages from recent redistricting. Generic ballot polling and approval trends have favored Democrats in competitive districts, yet Republican-led map changes in states such as Texas and Florida have added several favorable seats while Democratic responses in California partially offset those gains. With roughly two months until Election Day, only a limited number of races remain truly competitive, keeping implied probabilities distributed across multiple seat ranges near 190-210. Late shifts in national conditions, candidate performance in targeted districts, or turnout patterns could narrow the range by moving marginal seats.

This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.

Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.

House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026. The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$292,738
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x2F5e3684c...

Пов'язане

icon for Чи матиме Республіканська партія 47 або менше місць у Сенаті після проміжних виборів 2026 року?

Чи матиме Республіканська партія 47 або менше місць у Сенаті після проміжних виборів 2026 року?

30%
Так
icon for Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?

Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?

23%
icon for Чи контролюватиме Демократична партія Палату представників після проміжних виборів 2026 року?

Чи контролюватиме Демократична партія Палату представників після проміжних виборів 2026 року?

88%
Так

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 10 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Below 190» з 24%, далі «195-199» з 15%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?» згенерував $292.7K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 18, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?», перегляньте 10 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?» — «Below 190» з 24%. Наступний — «195-199» з 15%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.