Republican Anthony Constantino holds a substantial lead in the NY-21 House race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, evidenced by Donald Trump’s 20-point margin there in 2024. Constantino secured the GOP nomination in the June 23 primary with Trump’s endorsement and nearly 60 percent of the vote, defeating state Assemblyman Robert Smullen after a high-spending campaign. Democrat Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer, won his party’s nomination but trails in most available polling, including an August survey showing Constantino ahead by double digits. The open seat, previously held by Elise Stefanik, features limited recent developments that have shifted the competitive landscape, leaving structural advantages and primary momentum as primary drivers of current trader positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-21 House Election Winner
NY-21 House Election Winner
$65,592 Обс.
$65,592 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Anthony Constantino (R)
75%
Blake Gendebien (D)
25%
$65,592 Обс.
$65,592 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Anthony Constantino (R)
$34,333 Обс.
75%
Blake Gendebien (D)
$31,260 Обс.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Anthony Constantino holds a substantial lead in the NY-21 House race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, evidenced by Donald Trump’s 20-point margin there in 2024. Constantino secured the GOP nomination in the June 23 primary with Trump’s endorsement and nearly 60 percent of the vote, defeating state Assemblyman Robert Smullen after a high-spending campaign. Democrat Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer, won his party’s nomination but trails in most available polling, including an August survey showing Constantino ahead by double digits. The open seat, previously held by Elise Stefanik, features limited recent developments that have shifted the competitive landscape, leaving structural advantages and primary momentum as primary drivers of current trader positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$65,592Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Anthony Constantino holds a substantial lead in the NY-21 House race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, evidenced by Donald Trump’s 20-point margin there in 2024. Constantino secured the GOP nomination in the June 23 primary with Trump’s endorsement and nearly 60 percent of the vote, defeating state Assemblyman Robert Smullen after a high-spending campaign. Democrat Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer, won his party’s nomination but trails in most available polling, including an August survey showing Constantino ahead by double digits. The open seat, previously held by Elise Stefanik, features limited recent developments that have shifted the competitive landscape, leaving structural advantages and primary momentum as primary drivers of current trader positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$65,592Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Anthony Constantino holds a substantial lead in the NY-21 House race due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, evidenced by Donald Trump’s 20-point margin there in 2024. Constantino secured the GOP nomination in the June 23 primary with Trump’s endorsement and nearly 60 percent of the vote, defeating state Assemblyman Robert Smullen after a high-spending campaign. Democrat Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer, won his party’s nomination but trails in most available polling, including an August survey showing Constantino ahead by double digits. The open seat, previously held by Elise Stefanik, features limited recent developments that have shifted the competitive landscape, leaving structural advantages and primary momentum as primary drivers of current trader positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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