Incumbent Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position in New Jersey's 11th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's Democratic lean and her April 2026 special election victory by roughly 20 points. The seat, previously held by Governor Mikie Sherrill, favored Democrats in recent cycles, with Kamala Harris carrying it by about nine points in 2024. Mejia consolidated support after a primary win and has maintained strong fundraising and organizational advantages over Republican challenger Joe Hathaway. Trader consensus prices in the limited path for an upset, given historical base rates for incumbents in similar districts. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNJ-11 House Election Winner
NJ-11 House Election Winner
$39,587 Обс.
$39,587 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Analilia Mejia (D)
96%
Joe Hathaway (R)
6%
$39,587 Обс.
$39,587 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Analilia Mejia (D)
$23,591 Обс.
96%
Joe Hathaway (R)
$15,997 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position in New Jersey's 11th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's Democratic lean and her April 2026 special election victory by roughly 20 points. The seat, previously held by Governor Mikie Sherrill, favored Democrats in recent cycles, with Kamala Harris carrying it by about nine points in 2024. Mejia consolidated support after a primary win and has maintained strong fundraising and organizational advantages over Republican challenger Joe Hathaway. Trader consensus prices in the limited path for an upset, given historical base rates for incumbents in similar districts. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$39,587Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position in New Jersey's 11th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's Democratic lean and her April 2026 special election victory by roughly 20 points. The seat, previously held by Governor Mikie Sherrill, favored Democrats in recent cycles, with Kamala Harris carrying it by about nine points in 2024. Mejia consolidated support after a primary win and has maintained strong fundraising and organizational advantages over Republican challenger Joe Hathaway. Trader consensus prices in the limited path for an upset, given historical base rates for incumbents in similar districts. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$39,587Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position in New Jersey's 11th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's Democratic lean and her April 2026 special election victory by roughly 20 points. The seat, previously held by Governor Mikie Sherrill, favored Democrats in recent cycles, with Kamala Harris carrying it by about nine points in 2024. Mejia consolidated support after a primary win and has maintained strong fundraising and organizational advantages over Republican challenger Joe Hathaway. Trader consensus prices in the limited path for an upset, given historical base rates for incumbents in similar districts. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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