Addison McDowell holds a commanding lead in the NC-06 House race as the Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by forecasters, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+9 after recent redistricting. His unopposed primary advance, substantial fundraising edge of roughly $1.23 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Cyril Jefferson’s $200,000 through June 2026, and alignment with district voting patterns underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% implied probability. Jefferson, the High Point mayor who won a competitive March primary, faces structural headwinds in a midterm environment favoring the incumbent party. Late developments such as unusually high Democratic turnout, major scandals, or significant shifts in national political conditions could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNC-06 House Election Winner
NC-06 House Election Winner
$49,552 Обс.
$49,552 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Addison McDowell (R)
92%
Cyril Jefferson (D)
8%
$49,552 Обс.
$49,552 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Addison McDowell (R)
$27,681 Обс.
92%
Cyril Jefferson (D)
$21,871 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Addison McDowell holds a commanding lead in the NC-06 House race as the Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by forecasters, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+9 after recent redistricting. His unopposed primary advance, substantial fundraising edge of roughly $1.23 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Cyril Jefferson’s $200,000 through June 2026, and alignment with district voting patterns underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% implied probability. Jefferson, the High Point mayor who won a competitive March primary, faces structural headwinds in a midterm environment favoring the incumbent party. Late developments such as unusually high Democratic turnout, major scandals, or significant shifts in national political conditions could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$49,552Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Addison McDowell holds a commanding lead in the NC-06 House race as the Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by forecasters, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+9 after recent redistricting. His unopposed primary advance, substantial fundraising edge of roughly $1.23 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Cyril Jefferson’s $200,000 through June 2026, and alignment with district voting patterns underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% implied probability. Jefferson, the High Point mayor who won a competitive March primary, faces structural headwinds in a midterm environment favoring the incumbent party. Late developments such as unusually high Democratic turnout, major scandals, or significant shifts in national political conditions could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$49,552Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Addison McDowell holds a commanding lead in the NC-06 House race as the Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican or Safe Republican by forecasters, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+9 after recent redistricting. His unopposed primary advance, substantial fundraising edge of roughly $1.23 million raised compared to Democratic nominee Cyril Jefferson’s $200,000 through June 2026, and alignment with district voting patterns underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 91.5% implied probability. Jefferson, the High Point mayor who won a competitive March primary, faces structural headwinds in a midterm environment favoring the incumbent party. Late developments such as unusually high Democratic turnout, major scandals, or significant shifts in national political conditions could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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