Meta's internal codename "Watermelon" refers to the next frontier large language model after Muse Spark, still in training as of early September 2026 with roughly 10x the compute of its predecessor. Chief AI officer Alexandr Wang told employees in a July town hall that it has reached parity with OpenAI's GPT-5.5 on unnamed internal benchmarks, a claim tied to Meta's $125–145 billion infrastructure spend but unverified externally. August reporting from The Information highlighted an October target to power the consumer Hatch AI agent platform, aligning with Meta's roadmap tease of bigger models on September 2. Traders price October release highest amid competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic releases, though timelines can slip and no public benchmarks or confirmation have emerged yet.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMeta's "Watermelon" model released by...?
Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?
$42,928 Обс.
Nov 30, 2026
September 30
11%
October 31
69%
November 30
89%
$42,928 Обс.
September 30
$16,308 Обс.
11%
October 31
$16,531 Обс.
69%
November 30
$10,089 Обс.
89%
On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta's internal codename "Watermelon" refers to the next frontier large language model after Muse Spark, still in training as of early September 2026 with roughly 10x the compute of its predecessor. Chief AI officer Alexandr Wang told employees in a July town hall that it has reached parity with OpenAI's GPT-5.5 on unnamed internal benchmarks, a claim tied to Meta's $125–145 billion infrastructure spend but unverified externally. August reporting from The Information highlighted an October target to power the consumer Hatch AI agent platform, aligning with Meta's roadmap tease of bigger models on September 2. Traders price October release highest amid competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic releases, though timelines can slip and no public benchmarks or confirmation have emerged yet.
On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Обсяг
$42,928Дата завершення
Nov 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 10:35 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta's internal codename "Watermelon" refers to the next frontier large language model after Muse Spark, still in training as of early September 2026 with roughly 10x the compute of its predecessor. Chief AI officer Alexandr Wang told employees in a July town hall that it has reached parity with OpenAI's GPT-5.5 on unnamed internal benchmarks, a claim tied to Meta's $125–145 billion infrastructure spend but unverified externally. August reporting from The Information highlighted an October target to power the consumer Hatch AI agent platform, aligning with Meta's roadmap tease of bigger models on September 2. Traders price October release highest amid competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic releases, though timelines can slip and no public benchmarks or confirmation have emerged yet.
On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta releases "Watermelon" or a model confirmed to be the model referenced above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$42,928Дата завершення
Nov 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 10:35 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Meta's internal codename "Watermelon" refers to the next frontier large language model after Muse Spark, still in training as of early September 2026 with roughly 10x the compute of its predecessor. Chief AI officer Alexandr Wang told employees in a July town hall that it has reached parity with OpenAI's GPT-5.5 on unnamed internal benchmarks, a claim tied to Meta's $125–145 billion infrastructure spend but unverified externally. August reporting from The Information highlighted an October target to power the consumer Hatch AI agent platform, aligning with Meta's roadmap tease of bigger models on September 2. Traders price October release highest amid competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic releases, though timelines can slip and no public benchmarks or confirmation have emerged yet.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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