**Divergent short-range model guidance on overnight radiative cooling and any frontal or convective activity is the main driver splitting trader sentiment near 50/50 between sub-6 °C and 16 °C+ outcomes for Ankara’s minimum on 23 September.** Ensemble runs and high-resolution guidance show a range of possible low temperatures from roughly 7–13 °C, reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, wind speeds, and the timing of any showers or thunderstorms forecast for the 22–23 period. Clearer, calmer nights favor stronger radiational cooling toward the lower end of that envelope, while increased cloudiness or mixing would keep readings closer to seasonal norms near 11–12 °C. With resolution only two days away, fresh model cycles and official Turkish Meteorological Service updates will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Ankara on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 23?
6°C or below 100%
16°C or higher 100%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 23, 2026
6°C or below
100%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
22%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C or higher
100%
6°C or below 100%
16°C or higher 100%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 23, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Обс.
100%
7°C
$0 Обс.
39%
8°C
$0 Обс.
39%
9°C
$0 Обс.
39%
10°C
$0 Обс.
40%
11°C
$0 Обс.
40%
12°C
$0 Обс.
22%
13°C
$0 Обс.
39%
14°C
$0 Обс.
39%
15°C
$0 Обс.
39%
16°C or higher
$0 Обс.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Divergent short-range model guidance on overnight radiative cooling and any frontal or convective activity is the main driver splitting trader sentiment near 50/50 between sub-6 °C and 16 °C+ outcomes for Ankara’s minimum on 23 September.** Ensemble runs and high-resolution guidance show a range of possible low temperatures from roughly 7–13 °C, reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, wind speeds, and the timing of any showers or thunderstorms forecast for the 22–23 period. Clearer, calmer nights favor stronger radiational cooling toward the lower end of that envelope, while increased cloudiness or mixing would keep readings closer to seasonal norms near 11–12 °C. With resolution only two days away, fresh model cycles and official Turkish Meteorological Service updates will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Divergent short-range model guidance on overnight radiative cooling and any frontal or convective activity is the main driver splitting trader sentiment near 50/50 between sub-6 °C and 16 °C+ outcomes for Ankara’s minimum on 23 September.** Ensemble runs and high-resolution guidance show a range of possible low temperatures from roughly 7–13 °C, reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, wind speeds, and the timing of any showers or thunderstorms forecast for the 22–23 period. Clearer, calmer nights favor stronger radiational cooling toward the lower end of that envelope, while increased cloudiness or mixing would keep readings closer to seasonal norms near 11–12 °C. With resolution only two days away, fresh model cycles and official Turkish Meteorological Service updates will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Divergent short-range model guidance on overnight radiative cooling and any frontal or convective activity is the main driver splitting trader sentiment near 50/50 between sub-6 °C and 16 °C+ outcomes for Ankara’s minimum on 23 September.** Ensemble runs and high-resolution guidance show a range of possible low temperatures from roughly 7–13 °C, reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover, wind speeds, and the timing of any showers or thunderstorms forecast for the 22–23 period. Clearer, calmer nights favor stronger radiational cooling toward the lower end of that envelope, while increased cloudiness or mixing would keep readings closer to seasonal norms near 11–12 °C. With resolution only two days away, fresh model cycles and official Turkish Meteorological Service updates will be the key catalysts for any shift in implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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