**Swift and Kelce’s July 3 wedding at Madison Square Garden and Holland’s June confirmation that he and Zendaya had already married have strengthened Yes sentiment, satisfying two of the three required milestones.** Trader consensus now hinges on whether Chalamet and Jenner will announce an engagement by year-end, with recent reporting indicating the couple remains content progressing at their own pace after three years together and has no immediate plans to rush. This dynamic creates moderate implied probability for Yes at 58.5%, as the first two conditions are resolved while the third remains uncertain. Key upcoming catalysts include any public appearances, social media activity, or industry events that could signal movement on the Chalamet-Jenner front before December 31.