Recent forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international models points to clear skies, light winds, and a maximum temperature near 29–31°C in Beijing on September 11, 2026, supporting the market-implied odds favoring 31°C at 53.5%. Dry northerly to southwesterly flow under a stable high-pressure ridge has suppressed cloud cover and moisture, keeping conditions consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs reach about 27°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering in the 29–32°C range and only modest upside risk from localized heating. Official observations at the end of the day will determine resolution, with minimal expected model shifts before then.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on September 11?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 11?
31°C 54%
32°C 24%
30°C 16%
33°C 4%
НОВЕ
$10,182 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,182 Обс.
Sep 11, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
16%
31°C
54%
32°C
24%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 54%
32°C 24%
30°C 16%
33°C 4%
НОВЕ
$10,182 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,182 Обс.
Sep 11, 2026
25°C or below
$394 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$588 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$919 Обс.
2%
28°C
$579 Обс.
2%
29°C
$876 Обс.
3%
30°C
$616 Обс.
16%
31°C
$3,093 Обс.
54%
32°C
$1,134 Обс.
24%
33°C
$1,522 Обс.
4%
34°C
$144 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$317 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international models points to clear skies, light winds, and a maximum temperature near 29–31°C in Beijing on September 11, 2026, supporting the market-implied odds favoring 31°C at 53.5%. Dry northerly to southwesterly flow under a stable high-pressure ridge has suppressed cloud cover and moisture, keeping conditions consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs reach about 27°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering in the 29–32°C range and only modest upside risk from localized heating. Official observations at the end of the day will determine resolution, with minimal expected model shifts before then.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$10,182Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international models points to clear skies, light winds, and a maximum temperature near 29–31°C in Beijing on September 11, 2026, supporting the market-implied odds favoring 31°C at 53.5%. Dry northerly to southwesterly flow under a stable high-pressure ridge has suppressed cloud cover and moisture, keeping conditions consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs reach about 27°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering in the 29–32°C range and only modest upside risk from localized heating. Official observations at the end of the day will determine resolution, with minimal expected model shifts before then.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$10,182Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international models points to clear skies, light winds, and a maximum temperature near 29–31°C in Beijing on September 11, 2026, supporting the market-implied odds favoring 31°C at 53.5%. Dry northerly to southwesterly flow under a stable high-pressure ridge has suppressed cloud cover and moisture, keeping conditions consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs reach about 27°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering in the 29–32°C range and only modest upside risk from localized heating. Official observations at the end of the day will determine resolution, with minimal expected model shifts before then.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання