Recent legislative efforts to suspend the 18.4-cent federal gasoline tax (and 24.4-cent diesel tax) have stalled in the House, with Speaker Mike Johnson citing lack of consensus among Republicans ahead of the November midterms. A push by House Freedom Caucus members and Rep. Andy Harris for a temporary pause through year-end collapsed on September 16, leaving the chamber adjourned until after the elections. High pump prices, driven by the Iran conflict that began in February, prompted President Trump’s earlier endorsement and multiple bipartisan bills, yet opponents highlight risks to the Highway Trust Fund, which faces insolvency projections around 2028 without revenue offsets. No federal gas tax holiday has ever passed, and any change requires congressional action rather than executive order. Traders are likely weighing limited near-term prospects against potential post-election reconsideration.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$38,261 Обс.
November 2
2%
$38,261 Обс.
November 2
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: May 12, 2026, 1:38 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...Recent legislative efforts to suspend the 18.4-cent federal gasoline tax (and 24.4-cent diesel tax) have stalled in the House, with Speaker Mike Johnson citing lack of consensus among Republicans ahead of the November midterms. A push by House Freedom Caucus members and Rep. Andy Harris for a temporary pause through year-end collapsed on September 16, leaving the chamber adjourned until after the elections. High pump prices, driven by the Iran conflict that began in February, prompted President Trump’s earlier endorsement and multiple bipartisan bills, yet opponents highlight risks to the Highway Trust Fund, which faces insolvency projections around 2028 without revenue offsets. No federal gas tax holiday has ever passed, and any change requires congressional action rather than executive order. Traders are likely weighing limited near-term prospects against potential post-election reconsideration.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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