Elon Musk's strong but informal endorsement of Dario Amodei's "We Must Pace the Frontier" essay in mid-September has reinforced trader consensus that he will not formally sign the July 2026 employee statement by the September 30 deadline. The statement, hosted at pacingthefrontier.com and backed by over 1,200 staff from labs including OpenAI and Anthropic, requests U.S.-led international tools for coordinating AI capability slowdowns rather than a personal CEO pledge. Musk's "Dario is right" post and related comments align with the broader idea of third-party evaluator access and safety standards but stop short of adding his name alongside xAI or SpaceX. With only days remaining and no reported movement toward listing or confirmation, the 97.4% "No" probability reflects this gap between verbal support and formal action. A sudden public commitment remains the main wildcard that could shift the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоElon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?
Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?
3% шанс
$10,730 Обс.
$10,730 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
3% шанс
$10,730 Обс.
$10,730 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elon Musk's strong but informal endorsement of Dario Amodei's "We Must Pace the Frontier" essay in mid-September has reinforced trader consensus that he will not formally sign the July 2026 employee statement by the September 30 deadline. The statement, hosted at pacingthefrontier.com and backed by over 1,200 staff from labs including OpenAI and Anthropic, requests U.S.-led international tools for coordinating AI capability slowdowns rather than a personal CEO pledge. Musk's "Dario is right" post and related comments align with the broader idea of third-party evaluator access and safety standards but stop short of adding his name alongside xAI or SpaceX. With only days remaining and no reported movement toward listing or confirmation, the 97.4% "No" probability reflects this gap between verbal support and formal action. A sudden public commitment remains the main wildcard that could shift the outcome.
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Обсяг
$10,730Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elon Musk's strong but informal endorsement of Dario Amodei's "We Must Pace the Frontier" essay in mid-September has reinforced trader consensus that he will not formally sign the July 2026 employee statement by the September 30 deadline. The statement, hosted at pacingthefrontier.com and backed by over 1,200 staff from labs including OpenAI and Anthropic, requests U.S.-led international tools for coordinating AI capability slowdowns rather than a personal CEO pledge. Musk's "Dario is right" post and related comments align with the broader idea of third-party evaluator access and safety standards but stop short of adding his name alongside xAI or SpaceX. With only days remaining and no reported movement toward listing or confirmation, the 97.4% "No" probability reflects this gap between verbal support and formal action. A sudden public commitment remains the main wildcard that could shift the outcome.
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$10,730Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Elon Musk's strong but informal endorsement of Dario Amodei's "We Must Pace the Frontier" essay in mid-September has reinforced trader consensus that he will not formally sign the July 2026 employee statement by the September 30 deadline. The statement, hosted at pacingthefrontier.com and backed by over 1,200 staff from labs including OpenAI and Anthropic, requests U.S.-led international tools for coordinating AI capability slowdowns rather than a personal CEO pledge. Musk's "Dario is right" post and related comments align with the broader idea of third-party evaluator access and safety standards but stop short of adding his name alongside xAI or SpaceX. With only days remaining and no reported movement toward listing or confirmation, the 97.4% "No" probability reflects this gap between verbal support and formal action. A sudden public commitment remains the main wildcard that could shift the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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