Luke Bronin secured the Democratic nomination for Connecticut’s 1st congressional district after defeating longtime incumbent John Larson in the August 11 primary, positioning him as the clear general-election frontrunner against Republican Amy Chai. The district’s D+12 partisan voter index and history of double-digit Democratic margins, including a 28-point victory in 2024, underpin the 96% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising. With the November 3 general election still weeks away, factors that could narrow the gap remain limited but include unusually low Democratic turnout, a late national shift favoring Republicans, or an unforeseen campaign development affecting either candidate.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCT-01 House Election Winner
CT-01 House Election Winner
$11,721 Обс.
$11,721 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Luke Bronin (D)
96%
Amy Chai (R)
3%
$11,721 Обс.
$11,721 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Luke Bronin (D)
$2,926 Обс.
96%
Amy Chai (R)
$8,795 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Luke Bronin secured the Democratic nomination for Connecticut’s 1st congressional district after defeating longtime incumbent John Larson in the August 11 primary, positioning him as the clear general-election frontrunner against Republican Amy Chai. The district’s D+12 partisan voter index and history of double-digit Democratic margins, including a 28-point victory in 2024, underpin the 96% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising. With the November 3 general election still weeks away, factors that could narrow the gap remain limited but include unusually low Democratic turnout, a late national shift favoring Republicans, or an unforeseen campaign development affecting either candidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$11,721Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Luke Bronin secured the Democratic nomination for Connecticut’s 1st congressional district after defeating longtime incumbent John Larson in the August 11 primary, positioning him as the clear general-election frontrunner against Republican Amy Chai. The district’s D+12 partisan voter index and history of double-digit Democratic margins, including a 28-point victory in 2024, underpin the 96% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising. With the November 3 general election still weeks away, factors that could narrow the gap remain limited but include unusually low Democratic turnout, a late national shift favoring Republicans, or an unforeseen campaign development affecting either candidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$11,721Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Luke Bronin secured the Democratic nomination for Connecticut’s 1st congressional district after defeating longtime incumbent John Larson in the August 11 primary, positioning him as the clear general-election frontrunner against Republican Amy Chai. The district’s D+12 partisan voter index and history of double-digit Democratic margins, including a 28-point victory in 2024, underpin the 96% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising. With the November 3 general election still weeks away, factors that could narrow the gap remain limited but include unusually low Democratic turnout, a late national shift favoring Republicans, or an unforeseen campaign development affecting either candidate.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання