Jacqui Irwin holds a commanding position in the California 26th congressional district race due to the seat's Democratic lean after mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50, her strong performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, and established profile as a state assemblymember with cross-party experience. The open seat, previously held by retiring Democrat Julia Brownley, features a district that favored Kamala Harris in 2024 and rates as Solid or Safe Democratic across major forecasters. Irwin significantly outraised Republican nominee Sam Gallucci, a pastor and nonprofit leader, while securing endorsements from party leaders. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Irwin reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unexpected national shifts, candidate health events, or turnout anomalies in the final weeks before the November 3 general election could still influence the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-26 House Election Winner
CA-26 House Election Winner
$32,175 Обс.
$32,175 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Jacqui Irwin (D)
95%
Sam Gallucci (R)
6%
$32,175 Обс.
$32,175 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Jacqui Irwin (D)
$16,426 Обс.
95%
Sam Gallucci (R)
$15,749 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jacqui Irwin holds a commanding position in the California 26th congressional district race due to the seat's Democratic lean after mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50, her strong performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, and established profile as a state assemblymember with cross-party experience. The open seat, previously held by retiring Democrat Julia Brownley, features a district that favored Kamala Harris in 2024 and rates as Solid or Safe Democratic across major forecasters. Irwin significantly outraised Republican nominee Sam Gallucci, a pastor and nonprofit leader, while securing endorsements from party leaders. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Irwin reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unexpected national shifts, candidate health events, or turnout anomalies in the final weeks before the November 3 general election could still influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Обсяг
$32,175Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jacqui Irwin holds a commanding position in the California 26th congressional district race due to the seat's Democratic lean after mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50, her strong performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, and established profile as a state assemblymember with cross-party experience. The open seat, previously held by retiring Democrat Julia Brownley, features a district that favored Kamala Harris in 2024 and rates as Solid or Safe Democratic across major forecasters. Irwin significantly outraised Republican nominee Sam Gallucci, a pastor and nonprofit leader, while securing endorsements from party leaders. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Irwin reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unexpected national shifts, candidate health events, or turnout anomalies in the final weeks before the November 3 general election could still influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$32,175Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Jacqui Irwin holds a commanding position in the California 26th congressional district race due to the seat's Democratic lean after mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50, her strong performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, and established profile as a state assemblymember with cross-party experience. The open seat, previously held by retiring Democrat Julia Brownley, features a district that favored Kamala Harris in 2024 and rates as Solid or Safe Democratic across major forecasters. Irwin significantly outraised Republican nominee Sam Gallucci, a pastor and nonprofit leader, while securing endorsements from party leaders. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Irwin reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unexpected national shifts, candidate health events, or turnout anomalies in the final weeks before the November 3 general election could still influence the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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