Incumbent Jay Obernolte holds a commanding position in California's 23rd congressional district due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in prior presidential margins and the district's partisan voter index. His strong primary performance, where he secured over 57 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, reinforced this advantage ahead of the November general election. Limited polling and forecasts from nonpartisan rating outlets consistently classify the race as solid or safe Republican. Tessa Lynn Hodge, the Democratic nominee and a clinical social worker, trails significantly in fundraising. Potential shifts could stem from unexpected national political developments, candidate-specific controversies, or turnout anomalies in the final weeks, though such factors have rarely altered outcomes in comparably rated districts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-23 House Election Winner
CA-23 House Election Winner
$61,465 Обс.
$61,465 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Jay Obernolte (R)
93%
Tessa Lynn Hodge (D)
6%
$61,465 Обс.
$61,465 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Jay Obernolte (R)
$29,034 Обс.
93%
Tessa Lynn Hodge (D)
$32,431 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jay Obernolte holds a commanding position in California's 23rd congressional district due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in prior presidential margins and the district's partisan voter index. His strong primary performance, where he secured over 57 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, reinforced this advantage ahead of the November general election. Limited polling and forecasts from nonpartisan rating outlets consistently classify the race as solid or safe Republican. Tessa Lynn Hodge, the Democratic nominee and a clinical social worker, trails significantly in fundraising. Potential shifts could stem from unexpected national political developments, candidate-specific controversies, or turnout anomalies in the final weeks, though such factors have rarely altered outcomes in comparably rated districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$61,465Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jay Obernolte holds a commanding position in California's 23rd congressional district due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in prior presidential margins and the district's partisan voter index. His strong primary performance, where he secured over 57 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, reinforced this advantage ahead of the November general election. Limited polling and forecasts from nonpartisan rating outlets consistently classify the race as solid or safe Republican. Tessa Lynn Hodge, the Democratic nominee and a clinical social worker, trails significantly in fundraising. Potential shifts could stem from unexpected national political developments, candidate-specific controversies, or turnout anomalies in the final weeks, though such factors have rarely altered outcomes in comparably rated districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$61,465Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jay Obernolte holds a commanding position in California's 23rd congressional district due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in prior presidential margins and the district's partisan voter index. His strong primary performance, where he secured over 57 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, reinforced this advantage ahead of the November general election. Limited polling and forecasts from nonpartisan rating outlets consistently classify the race as solid or safe Republican. Tessa Lynn Hodge, the Democratic nominee and a clinical social worker, trails significantly in fundraising. Potential shifts could stem from unexpected national political developments, candidate-specific controversies, or turnout anomalies in the final weeks, though such factors have rarely altered outcomes in comparably rated districts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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