Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton holds a commanding position in the 2026 Arkansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean, his strong primary performance, and consistent polling leads of 6 to 16 points. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting Arkansas voters' historical support for GOP Senate candidates and the limited resources and name recognition of Democratic nominee Hallie Shoffner. A recent shift by Shoffner on immigration enforcement issues has not altered the broader dynamics. Trader consensus in the prediction market aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting Cotton, or an unexpected national political shift could still influence the November outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоArkansas Senate Election Winner
Arkansas Senate Election Winner
$19,027 Обс.
$19,027 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Tom Cotton (R)
95%
Hallie Shoffner (D)
5%
$19,027 Обс.
$19,027 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Tom Cotton (R)
$14,505 Обс.
95%
Hallie Shoffner (D)
$4,522 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton holds a commanding position in the 2026 Arkansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean, his strong primary performance, and consistent polling leads of 6 to 16 points. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting Arkansas voters' historical support for GOP Senate candidates and the limited resources and name recognition of Democratic nominee Hallie Shoffner. A recent shift by Shoffner on immigration enforcement issues has not altered the broader dynamics. Trader consensus in the prediction market aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting Cotton, or an unexpected national political shift could still influence the November outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Обсяг
$19,027Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton holds a commanding position in the 2026 Arkansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean, his strong primary performance, and consistent polling leads of 6 to 16 points. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting Arkansas voters' historical support for GOP Senate candidates and the limited resources and name recognition of Democratic nominee Hallie Shoffner. A recent shift by Shoffner on immigration enforcement issues has not altered the broader dynamics. Trader consensus in the prediction market aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting Cotton, or an unexpected national political shift could still influence the November outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$19,027Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom Cotton holds a commanding position in the 2026 Arkansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean, his strong primary performance, and consistent polling leads of 6 to 16 points. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting Arkansas voters' historical support for GOP Senate candidates and the limited resources and name recognition of Democratic nominee Hallie Shoffner. A recent shift by Shoffner on immigration enforcement issues has not altered the broader dynamics. Trader consensus in the prediction market aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting Cotton, or an unexpected national political shift could still influence the November outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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