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Politika·Kumita Ng 4%

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

icon for Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Politika·Kumita Ng 4%

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Dec 31

Jan 20, 2029

Dec 31

Jan 20, 2029

68% tsansa
Polymarket

$102,057 Vol.

68% tsansa
Polymarket

$102,057 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats' strong position in November 2026 midterm forecasts to regain House control underpins the 67.5% implied probability for impeachment before term's end. Polls from June show 53% of Americans citing grounds such as corruption, abuse of power, and military actions without congressional approval. Rep. Al Green introduced articles in August targeting immigration enforcement practices, though Democratic leaders including Hakeem Jeffries have emphasized investigations and legislative priorities over immediate floor action. Historical precedent indicates House majorities typically pursue articles against opposing presidents, while Senate conviction thresholds remain high. Trader consensus reflects these institutional dynamics and scheduled electoral shifts more than any single confirmed proceeding.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$102,057
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 20, 2029
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats' strong position in November 2026 midterm forecasts to regain House control underpins the 67.5% implied probability for impeachment before term's end. Polls from June show 53% of Americans citing grounds such as corruption, abuse of power, and military actions without congressional approval. Rep. Al Green introduced articles in August targeting immigration enforcement practices, though Democratic leaders including Hakeem Jeffries have emphasized investigations and legislative priorities over immediate floor action. Historical precedent indicates House majorities typically pursue articles against opposing presidents, while Senate conviction thresholds remain high. Trader consensus reflects these institutional dynamics and scheduled electoral shifts more than any single confirmed proceeding.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$102,057
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 20, 2029
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng "Yes" o "No" shares batay sa kung naniniwala silang mangyayari ang event na ito. Ang kasalukuyang crowd-sourced probability ay 68% para sa "Yes." Halimbawa, kung ang "Yes" ay naka-presyo sa 68¢, ang market ay kolektibong nagtatakda ng 68% na tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" ay naka-generate ng $102.1K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Mar 19, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?," piliin lang kung naniniwala ka na ang sagot ay "Yes" o "No." Ang bawat panig ay may kasalukuyang presyo na sumasalamin sa implied probability ng market. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares at na-resolve ang outcome bilang "Yes," nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1. Kung na-resolve bilang "No," ang iyong "Yes" shares ay nagkakahalaga ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" ay 68% para sa "Yes." Ibig sabihin nito na kasalukuyang naniniwala ang Polymarket crowd na may 68% tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time batay sa actual trades, na nagbibigay ng patuloy na ina-update na signal kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.