EUR/USD trades near 1.154 amid Fed-ECB policy divergence, with the dollar supported by expectations for a 25-basis-point September FOMC hike and 10-year Treasury yields at multi-year highs driven by elevated inflation and geopolitical oil-price risks. The ECB’s recent tightening has narrowed but not eliminated the rate gap, keeping the pair sensitive to relative growth data and labor-market releases. Trader sentiment on 2026 levels reflects the market-implied path of further Fed hikes versus potential ECB pauses, alongside Treasury yield spreads and risk appetite. Key near-term catalysts include today’s FOMC decision and upcoming euro-area inflation prints, while longer-term resolution hinges on whether the policy differential compresses or widens through year-end.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWill EUR/USD hit __ in 2026?
$89,288 Vol.
↑ 1.40
3%
↑ 1.35
3%
↑ 1.30
6%
↑ 1.26
6%
↑ 1.24
10%
↑ 1.22
29%
↑ 1.20
31%
↓ 1.12
31%
↓ 1.10
23%
↓ 1.05
5%
↓ 1.00
4%
$89,288 Vol.
↑ 1.40
3%
↑ 1.35
3%
↑ 1.30
6%
↑ 1.26
6%
↑ 1.24
10%
↑ 1.22
29%
↑ 1.20
31%
↓ 1.12
31%
↓ 1.10
23%
↓ 1.05
5%
↓ 1.00
4%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...EUR/USD trades near 1.154 amid Fed-ECB policy divergence, with the dollar supported by expectations for a 25-basis-point September FOMC hike and 10-year Treasury yields at multi-year highs driven by elevated inflation and geopolitical oil-price risks. The ECB’s recent tightening has narrowed but not eliminated the rate gap, keeping the pair sensitive to relative growth data and labor-market releases. Trader sentiment on 2026 levels reflects the market-implied path of further Fed hikes versus potential ECB pauses, alongside Treasury yield spreads and risk appetite. Key near-term catalysts include today’s FOMC decision and upcoming euro-area inflation prints, while longer-term resolution hinges on whether the policy differential compresses or widens through year-end.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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