Gwen Moore's commanding position in the WI-04 House race stems from the district's entrenched Democratic lean in Milwaukee and surrounding suburbs, where she has represented voters since 2005 and captured 74.8% of the vote in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Moore secured her party's nomination in the August 11 primary by defeating challenger Amy Donahue, while perennial Republican candidate Tim Rogers advanced after prevailing in his primary. Limited campaign activity and fundraising on the Republican side reinforce trader consensus around the incumbent's advantage. An unforeseen scandal, significant health development, or unanticipated national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWI-04 House Election Winner
WI-04 House Election Winner
$36,788 Vol.
$36,788 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Gwen Moore (D)
96%
Tim Rogers (R)
1%
$36,788 Vol.
$36,788 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Gwen Moore (D)
$14,357 Vol.
96%
Tim Rogers (R)
$22,431 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gwen Moore's commanding position in the WI-04 House race stems from the district's entrenched Democratic lean in Milwaukee and surrounding suburbs, where she has represented voters since 2005 and captured 74.8% of the vote in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Moore secured her party's nomination in the August 11 primary by defeating challenger Amy Donahue, while perennial Republican candidate Tim Rogers advanced after prevailing in his primary. Limited campaign activity and fundraising on the Republican side reinforce trader consensus around the incumbent's advantage. An unforeseen scandal, significant health development, or unanticipated national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$36,788Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gwen Moore's commanding position in the WI-04 House race stems from the district's entrenched Democratic lean in Milwaukee and surrounding suburbs, where she has represented voters since 2005 and captured 74.8% of the vote in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Moore secured her party's nomination in the August 11 primary by defeating challenger Amy Donahue, while perennial Republican candidate Tim Rogers advanced after prevailing in his primary. Limited campaign activity and fundraising on the Republican side reinforce trader consensus around the incumbent's advantage. An unforeseen scandal, significant health development, or unanticipated national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$36,788Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Gwen Moore's commanding position in the WI-04 House race stems from the district's entrenched Democratic lean in Milwaukee and surrounding suburbs, where she has represented voters since 2005 and captured 74.8% of the vote in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Moore secured her party's nomination in the August 11 primary by defeating challenger Amy Donahue, while perennial Republican candidate Tim Rogers advanced after prevailing in his primary. Limited campaign activity and fundraising on the Republican side reinforce trader consensus around the incumbent's advantage. An unforeseen scandal, significant health development, or unanticipated national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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