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icon for Vaimauga 3 By-Election Winner
Mundo·Samoa

Vaimauga 3 By-Election Winner

icon for Vaimauga 3 By-Election Winner
Mundo·Samoa

Vaimauga 3 By-Election Winner

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 42%

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 15.6%

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 16%

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 5.1%

Polymarket
BAGO

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 42%

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 15.6%

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 16%

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 5.1%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia

$1,947 Vol.

43%

icon for Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo

$1,180 Vol.

16%

icon for Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo

$2,567 Vol.

16%

icon for Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni

$546 Vol.

5%

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).Vaimauga 3's by-election on 18 September features a fragmented field that has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered, with Nonu Laulu William Mauia of FAST at 43% and other named contenders trailing amid dozens of options priced near even odds. The contest follows the Electoral Court's June ruling voiding Lautimuia Uelese Vaʻai's May victory on bribery findings against both him and the petitioner, Taioaliʻiseu Fiti Aimaʻasu, marking the third poll in the constituency in under 18 months after party-hopping and earlier by-elections. HRPP nominee Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faʻaʻofo and FAST's Puaʻalatamai Filemoni Filemoni join additional independents and minor candidates, splitting voter bases across local issues such as infrastructure, service delivery, and constituency development. Pre-polling begins in days, leaving limited time for any single contender to consolidate support or shift the current balance reflected in market pricing.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Volume
$6,240
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).Vaimauga 3's by-election on 18 September features a fragmented field that has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered, with Nonu Laulu William Mauia of FAST at 43% and other named contenders trailing amid dozens of options priced near even odds. The contest follows the Electoral Court's June ruling voiding Lautimuia Uelese Vaʻai's May victory on bribery findings against both him and the petitioner, Taioaliʻiseu Fiti Aimaʻasu, marking the third poll in the constituency in under 18 months after party-hopping and earlier by-elections. HRPP nominee Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faʻaʻofo and FAST's Puaʻalatamai Filemoni Filemoni join additional independents and minor candidates, splitting voter bases across local issues such as infrastructure, service delivery, and constituency development. Pre-polling begins in days, leaving limited time for any single contender to consolidate support or shift the current balance reflected in market pricing.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Volume
$6,240
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Vaimauga 3 By-Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 4 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia" sa 43%, sinusundan ng "Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo" sa 16%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 43¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 43% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Vaimauga 3 By-Election Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 31, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Vaimauga 3 By-Election Winner," i-browse ang 4 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Vaimauga 3 By-Election Winner" ay "Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia" sa 43%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 43% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo" sa 16%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Vaimauga 3 By-Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.