Tesla shares have traded near $368 following a sharp rebound from the post-Cybercab launch selloff and NHTSA probe into the vehicle’s self-certification, with the stock closing at $368.16 on September 8 after a 3.98% gain. The broad probability distribution across price bins reflects ongoing uncertainty around robotaxi deployment timelines, regulatory hurdles, and softening U.S. EV demand, as August sales declined 26% year-over-year. Traders are weighing these near-term pressures against Tesla’s capital expenditure trajectory exceeding $25 billion in 2026 and the next major earnings release expected in October, which could clarify margin trends and Full Self-Driving progress amid elevated volatility.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateTesla (TSLA) closes week of Sep 7 at ___?
>$375 25%
$365-$370 18%
$360-$365 16%
$370-$375 16%
<$330
2%
$330-$335
10%
$335-$340
6%
$340-$345
7%
$345-$350
6%
$350-$355
8%
$355-$360
13%
$360-$365
16%
$365-$370
18%
$370-$375
16%
>$375
25%
>$375 25%
$365-$370 18%
$360-$365 16%
$370-$375 16%
<$330
2%
$330-$335
10%
$335-$340
6%
$340-$345
7%
$345-$350
6%
$350-$355
8%
$355-$360
13%
$360-$365
16%
$365-$370
18%
$370-$375
16%
>$375
25%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla shares have traded near $368 following a sharp rebound from the post-Cybercab launch selloff and NHTSA probe into the vehicle’s self-certification, with the stock closing at $368.16 on September 8 after a 3.98% gain. The broad probability distribution across price bins reflects ongoing uncertainty around robotaxi deployment timelines, regulatory hurdles, and softening U.S. EV demand, as August sales declined 26% year-over-year. Traders are weighing these near-term pressures against Tesla’s capital expenditure trajectory exceeding $25 billion in 2026 and the next major earnings release expected in October, which could clarify margin trends and Full Self-Driving progress amid elevated volatility.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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