Tesla shares closed the prior week near $372 before slipping sharply to $357.45 on September 28 amid weather-driven postponement of the next-generation Roadster reveal to mid-October and tempered third-quarter delivery expectations from several analysts. With Q3 production and delivery figures due shortly and NHTSA responses on Cybercab certification required by September 30, traders appear focused on near-term execution risks and elevated valuation multiples exceeding 300 times trailing earnings. These pressures have concentrated implied probability on closes below $350 for the week ending October 2, while higher buckets reflect limited conviction in a rapid rebound absent stronger delivery data or positive regulatory clarity.