Legislation introduced in February 2025 by Rep. Joe Wilson to authorize a new $250 denomination and exempt living presidents from the federal prohibition on portraits of living persons on currency has remained stalled in the House Financial Services Committee with no further action. Treasury officials conducted limited preparatory design work ahead of the July 2026 semiquincentennial but repeatedly stated they would not proceed without congressional approval, and even Republican lawmakers showed limited enthusiasm for advancing the measure. The anniversary date has now passed without enactment. Traders assign a 96.9% implied probability to “No” because new banknote denominations and legal carve-outs require explicit legislative majorities that have not materialized. Late-session passage or an executive workaround before year-end remain the primary, though narrow, paths that could still shift the outcome.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$30,531 Vol.
$30,531 Vol.
$30,531 Vol.
$30,531 Vol.
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Legislation introduced in February 2025 by Rep. Joe Wilson to authorize a new $250 denomination and exempt living presidents from the federal prohibition on portraits of living persons on currency has remained stalled in the House Financial Services Committee with no further action. Treasury officials conducted limited preparatory design work ahead of the July 2026 semiquincentennial but repeatedly stated they would not proceed without congressional approval, and even Republican lawmakers showed limited enthusiasm for advancing the measure. The anniversary date has now passed without enactment. Traders assign a 96.9% implied probability to “No” because new banknote denominations and legal carve-outs require explicit legislative majorities that have not materialized. Late-session passage or an executive workaround before year-end remain the primary, though narrow, paths that could still shift the outcome.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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