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Politika·Mexico

Sonora Governor Election Winner

icon for Sonora Governor Election Winner
Politika·Mexico

Sonora Governor Election Winner

Lorenia Valles Sampedro 43%

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 38.1%

Javier Lamarque Cano 8%

Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez 5.1%

Polymarket

$34,625 Vol.

Lorenia Valles Sampedro 43%

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 38.1%

Javier Lamarque Cano 8%

Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez 5.1%

Polymarket

$34,625 Vol.

icon for Lorenia Valles Sampedro

Lorenia Valles Sampedro

$24,671 Vol.

43%

icon for Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas

$939 Vol.

38%

icon for Javier Lamarque Cano

Javier Lamarque Cano

$3,320 Vol.

8%

icon for Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez

Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez

$910 Vol.

5%

icon for Ernesto Gándara Camou

Ernesto Gándara Camou

$554 Vol.

4%

icon for Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez

Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez

$323 Vol.

4%

icon for Natalia Rivera Grijalva

Natalia Rivera Grijalva

$302 Vol.

4%

icon for Manuel Scott Sánchez

Manuel Scott Sánchez

$293 Vol.

2%

icon for Lilly Téllez García

Lilly Téllez García

$316 Vol.

2%

icon for Froylán Gámez Gamboa

Froylán Gámez Gamboa

$267 Vol.

2%

icon for Heriberto Aguilar Castillo

Heriberto Aguilar Castillo

$301 Vol.

1%

icon for María Dolores del Río Sánchez

María Dolores del Río Sánchez

$284 Vol.

1%

icon for Víctor Hugo Celaya

Víctor Hugo Celaya

$289 Vol.

1%

icon for Guadalupe María Soto

Guadalupe María Soto

$313 Vol.

1%

icon for Rogelio Díaz Brown

Rogelio Díaz Brown

$277 Vol.

1%

icon for Omar del Valle Colosio

Omar del Valle Colosio

$335 Vol.

1%

icon for Damián Zepeda Vidales

Damián Zepeda Vidales

$267 Vol.

<1%

icon for Patricia Mercado Castro

Patricia Mercado Castro

$374 Vol.

<1%

icon for Célida Teresa López Cárdenas

Célida Teresa López Cárdenas

$287 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Morena maintains a structural lead in Sonora party identification and general election intention ahead of the June 2027 gubernatorial vote, with recent June–August 2026 surveys showing the ruling alliance 15–25 points ahead of PAN and other opposition forces. Within Morena, Lorenia Valles Sampedro and Javier Lamarque Cano remain the closest internal contenders, while Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas leads Movimiento Ciudadano preference and Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez tops PAN polling. These patterns explain the tight trader consensus between Valles and Colosio as the primary general-election matchup, with lower odds for other declared or potential aspirants. The race stays competitive because the Morena nomination process is unresolved, opposition parties remain fragmented, and undecided voters exceed 10–20% in most measurements. Scheduled internal selections and further polling releases through late 2026 could shift positioning before formal campaigning begins.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$34,625
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 6, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 5, 2026, 6:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Morena maintains a structural lead in Sonora party identification and general election intention ahead of the June 2027 gubernatorial vote, with recent June–August 2026 surveys showing the ruling alliance 15–25 points ahead of PAN and other opposition forces. Within Morena, Lorenia Valles Sampedro and Javier Lamarque Cano remain the closest internal contenders, while Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas leads Movimiento Ciudadano preference and Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez tops PAN polling. These patterns explain the tight trader consensus between Valles and Colosio as the primary general-election matchup, with lower odds for other declared or potential aspirants. The race stays competitive because the Morena nomination process is unresolved, opposition parties remain fragmented, and undecided voters exceed 10–20% in most measurements. Scheduled internal selections and further polling releases through late 2026 could shift positioning before formal campaigning begins.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$34,625
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 6, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 5, 2026, 6:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Sonora Governor Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 19 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Lorenia Valles Sampedro" sa 43%, sinusundan ng "Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas" sa 38%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 43¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 43% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Sonora Governor Election Winner" ay naka-generate ng $34.6K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Aug 5, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Sonora Governor Election Winner," i-browse ang 19 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Sonora Governor Election Winner" ay "Lorenia Valles Sampedro" sa 43%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 43% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas" sa 38%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Sonora Governor Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.