Recent polling shows Democrats holding a 6- to 8-point generic ballot lead amid low presidential approval ratings, consistent with historical patterns where the president's party typically loses seats in midterms. This dynamic supports trader expectations of Republican losses from their narrow 218- to 220-seat majority, though mid-decade redistricting in states such as Texas and Florida has added several GOP-leaning districts as a partial offset. The spread across seat bins reflects uncertainty over turnout in competitive districts, the impact of cost-of-living concerns, and late campaign developments that could alter the final tally by a handful of seats either way. Scheduled events like remaining primaries and final ad spending surges may further influence outcomes before November voting.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateBelow 190 24%
195-199 16%
190-194 13%
200-204 12.5%
$306,718 Vol.
$306,718 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Below 190
24%
190-194
13%
195-199
16%
200-204
13%
205-209
12%
210-214
10%
215-219
7%
220-224
3%
225-229
2%
230+
2%
Below 190 24%
195-199 16%
190-194 13%
200-204 12.5%
$306,718 Vol.
$306,718 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Below 190
$43,315 Vol.
24%
190-194
$15,558 Vol.
13%
195-199
$34,102 Vol.
16%
200-204
$26,766 Vol.
13%
205-209
$41,753 Vol.
12%
210-214
$16,547 Vol.
10%
215-219
$12,130 Vol.
7%
220-224
$59,810 Vol.
3%
225-229
$25,066 Vol.
2%
230+
$31,671 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent polling shows Democrats holding a 6- to 8-point generic ballot lead amid low presidential approval ratings, consistent with historical patterns where the president's party typically loses seats in midterms. This dynamic supports trader expectations of Republican losses from their narrow 218- to 220-seat majority, though mid-decade redistricting in states such as Texas and Florida has added several GOP-leaning districts as a partial offset. The spread across seat bins reflects uncertainty over turnout in competitive districts, the impact of cost-of-living concerns, and late campaign developments that could alter the final tally by a handful of seats either way. Scheduled events like remaining primaries and final ad spending surges may further influence outcomes before November voting.
This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$306,718Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent polling shows Democrats holding a 6- to 8-point generic ballot lead amid low presidential approval ratings, consistent with historical patterns where the president's party typically loses seats in midterms. This dynamic supports trader expectations of Republican losses from their narrow 218- to 220-seat majority, though mid-decade redistricting in states such as Texas and Florida has added several GOP-leaning districts as a partial offset. The spread across seat bins reflects uncertainty over turnout in competitive districts, the impact of cost-of-living concerns, and late campaign developments that could alter the final tally by a handful of seats either way. Scheduled events like remaining primaries and final ad spending surges may further influence outcomes before November voting.
This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$306,718Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling shows Democrats holding a 6- to 8-point generic ballot lead amid low presidential approval ratings, consistent with historical patterns where the president's party typically loses seats in midterms. This dynamic supports trader expectations of Republican losses from their narrow 218- to 220-seat majority, though mid-decade redistricting in states such as Texas and Florida has added several GOP-leaning districts as a partial offset. The spread across seat bins reflects uncertainty over turnout in competitive districts, the impact of cost-of-living concerns, and late campaign developments that could alter the final tally by a handful of seats either way. Scheduled events like remaining primaries and final ad spending surges may further influence outcomes before November voting.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateKaugnay
Magkakaroon ba ang Partido Republikano ng 47 o mas kaunting mga puwesto sa Senado pagkatapos ng midterm elections sa 2026?
38%
Oo
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
34%
Makokontrol ba ng Democratic Party ang Kapulungan pagkatapos ng 2026 Midterm elections?
93%
Oo
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