Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead in popular vote and seat projections ahead of the October 5 election, followed closely by the Coalition Avenir Québec and Quebec Liberals, with the Conservatives and Québec Solidaire gaining regional traction. This positioning supports trader consensus around the Quebec Liberal Party finishing third, as its support has declined steadily while the CAQ rebounds modestly under its new leader and the Conservatives consolidate strength outside Montreal. Vote fragmentation across five parties, particularly in suburban and Quebec City ridings, increases the likelihood of a tight ordering behind the PQ plurality, with limited movement in recent surveys leaving the current implied probabilities largely stable.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updatePLQ 70%
CAQ 19%
PQ 6.4%
PCQ 1.9%
$10,579 Vol.
$10,579 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
70%
CAQ
19%
PQ
6%
PCQ
2%
QS
2%
PVQ
<1%
PLQ 70%
CAQ 19%
PQ 6.4%
PCQ 1.9%
$10,579 Vol.
$10,579 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
$2,857 Vol.
70%
CAQ
$3,388 Vol.
19%
PQ
$1,363 Vol.
6%
PCQ
$1,225 Vol.
2%
QS
$1,148 Vol.
2%
PVQ
$597 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead in popular vote and seat projections ahead of the October 5 election, followed closely by the Coalition Avenir Québec and Quebec Liberals, with the Conservatives and Québec Solidaire gaining regional traction. This positioning supports trader consensus around the Quebec Liberal Party finishing third, as its support has declined steadily while the CAQ rebounds modestly under its new leader and the Conservatives consolidate strength outside Montreal. Vote fragmentation across five parties, particularly in suburban and Quebec City ridings, increases the likelihood of a tight ordering behind the PQ plurality, with limited movement in recent surveys leaving the current implied probabilities largely stable.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volume
$10,579Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead in popular vote and seat projections ahead of the October 5 election, followed closely by the Coalition Avenir Québec and Quebec Liberals, with the Conservatives and Québec Solidaire gaining regional traction. This positioning supports trader consensus around the Quebec Liberal Party finishing third, as its support has declined steadily while the CAQ rebounds modestly under its new leader and the Conservatives consolidate strength outside Montreal. Vote fragmentation across five parties, particularly in suburban and Quebec City ridings, increases the likelihood of a tight ordering behind the PQ plurality, with limited movement in recent surveys leaving the current implied probabilities largely stable.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$10,579Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead in popular vote and seat projections ahead of the October 5 election, followed closely by the Coalition Avenir Québec and Quebec Liberals, with the Conservatives and Québec Solidaire gaining regional traction. This positioning supports trader consensus around the Quebec Liberal Party finishing third, as its support has declined steadily while the CAQ rebounds modestly under its new leader and the Conservatives consolidate strength outside Montreal. Vote fragmentation across five parties, particularly in suburban and Quebec City ridings, increases the likelihood of a tight ordering behind the PQ plurality, with limited movement in recent surveys leaving the current implied probabilities largely stable.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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