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icon for Piauí Senate Election: 2nd Place

Piauí Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Piauí Senate Election: 2nd Place

Piauí Senate Election: 2nd Place

Julio Cesar 34.9%

Marcelo Castro 32.3%

Ciro Nogueira 16%

Tiago Junqueira 5.4%

Polymarket

$42,854 Vol.

Julio Cesar 34.9%

Marcelo Castro 32.3%

Ciro Nogueira 16%

Tiago Junqueira 5.4%

Polymarket

$42,854 Vol.

icon for Julio Cesar

Julio Cesar

$6,246 Vol.

35%

icon for Marcelo Castro

Marcelo Castro

$8,189 Vol.

32%

icon for Ciro Nogueira

Ciro Nogueira

$14,946 Vol.

16%

icon for Tiago Junqueira

Tiago Junqueira

$1,226 Vol.

5%

icon for Toinho Dufrango

Toinho Dufrango

$782 Vol.

<1%

icon for Francinaldo Leão

Francinaldo Leão

$818 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alexandre Mariano

Alexandre Mariano

$774 Vol.

<1%

icon for Maria Madalena Nunes

Maria Madalena Nunes

$766 Vol.

<1%

icon for Missionário Evandro Craveiro

Missionário Evandro Craveiro

$756 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cloves José

Cloves José

$804 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dionisio Carvalho

Dionisio Carvalho

$762 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jardenya Bezerra

Jardenya Bezerra

$785 Vol.

<1%

icon for Antônio José Lira

Antônio José Lira

$778 Vol.

<1%

icon for Major Paulo Roberto

Major Paulo Roberto

$782 Vol.

<1%

icon for Antônio Barros

Antônio Barros

$730 Vol.

<1%

icon for Danniel Rocha

Danniel Rocha

$759 Vol.

<1%

icon for Irmão Evandro Marques

Irmão Evandro Marques

$785 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jorge Lopes

Jorge Lopes

$643 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pastor Sena

Pastor Sena

$791 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pedro Laurentino

Pedro Laurentino

$732 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from June 2026 shows Marcelo Castro (MDB) leading Piauí's Senate race for one of two seats, with Júlio César (PSD) and Ciro Nogueira (PP) clustered closely behind amid elevated undecided and blank/null responses. Júlio César's stronger positioning for second place aligns with lower rejection rates compared to Ciro Nogueira, while both trail in consolidated first- and second-preference scenarios. President Lula's September 9 visit to Teresina reinforced support for the governor's aligned slate including Castro and Júlio César, potentially consolidating votes in a state where the PT base remains influential. High undecided shares and campaign momentum around these frontrunners continue to sustain tight probabilities for second place, with any late shifts in alliances or turnout among key blocs likely to determine separation before October.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$42,854
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from June 2026 shows Marcelo Castro (MDB) leading Piauí's Senate race for one of two seats, with Júlio César (PSD) and Ciro Nogueira (PP) clustered closely behind amid elevated undecided and blank/null responses. Júlio César's stronger positioning for second place aligns with lower rejection rates compared to Ciro Nogueira, while both trail in consolidated first- and second-preference scenarios. President Lula's September 9 visit to Teresina reinforced support for the governor's aligned slate including Castro and Júlio César, potentially consolidating votes in a state where the PT base remains influential. High undecided shares and campaign momentum around these frontrunners continue to sustain tight probabilities for second place, with any late shifts in alliances or turnout among key blocs likely to determine separation before October.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$42,854
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Piauí Senate Election: 2nd Place" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 20 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Julio Cesar" sa 35%, sinusundan ng "Marcelo Castro" sa 32%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 35¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 35% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Piauí Senate Election: 2nd Place" ay naka-generate ng $42.9K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Aug 17, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Piauí Senate Election: 2nd Place," i-browse ang 20 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Piauí Senate Election: 2nd Place" ay "Julio Cesar" sa 35%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 35% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Marcelo Castro" sa 32%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Piauí Senate Election: 2nd Place" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.