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icon for Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner
Politika·Taiwan

Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner

icon for Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner
Politika·Taiwan

Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner

Chen Chen-chung 78%

Wu Shu-chin 23%

Yeh Chu-lin 1.6%

Chen Chin-chuan <1%

Polymarket

$10,305 Vol.

Chen Chen-chung 78%

Wu Shu-chin 23%

Yeh Chu-lin 1.6%

Chen Chin-chuan <1%

Polymarket

$10,305 Vol.

icon for Chen Chen-chung

Chen Chen-chung

$3,132 Vol.

78%

icon for Wu Shu-chin

Wu Shu-chin

$4,900 Vol.

23%

icon for Yeh Chu-lin

Yeh Chu-lin

$413 Vol.

2%

icon for Chen Chin-chuan

Chen Chin-chuan

$370 Vol.

1%

icon for Hsu Chih-fu

Hsu Chih-fu

$970 Vol.

1%

icon for Chou Ni-an

Chou Ni-an

$521 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Chen-chung, the Kuomintang nominee and former Huxi Township head, holds a commanding 77.5% implied probability in the Penghu County Magistrate race, well ahead of Democratic Progressive Party substitute Wu Shu-chin at 22.5% and independents including Yeh Chu-lin at 1.6%. The market positioning stems primarily from the February 2026 incapacitating injury to incumbent DPP Magistrate Chen Kuang-fu, which prompted the party to draft his wife Wu as a late replacement after candidate registration closed in early September. This occurred against a backdrop of KMT party unity behind Chen Chen-chung since April, while multiple independents—some with prior KMT ties—risk splitting the pan-blue vote as they did in 2022. July-August polling showed Chen Chen-chung ahead at roughly 30% to Wu’s 21% and Yeh’s 18%, and the November 28 election timeline leaves limited runway for shifts absent major new developments.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$10,305
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Chen-chung, the Kuomintang nominee and former Huxi Township head, holds a commanding 77.5% implied probability in the Penghu County Magistrate race, well ahead of Democratic Progressive Party substitute Wu Shu-chin at 22.5% and independents including Yeh Chu-lin at 1.6%. The market positioning stems primarily from the February 2026 incapacitating injury to incumbent DPP Magistrate Chen Kuang-fu, which prompted the party to draft his wife Wu as a late replacement after candidate registration closed in early September. This occurred against a backdrop of KMT party unity behind Chen Chen-chung since April, while multiple independents—some with prior KMT ties—risk splitting the pan-blue vote as they did in 2022. July-August polling showed Chen Chen-chung ahead at roughly 30% to Wu’s 21% and Yeh’s 18%, and the November 28 election timeline leaves limited runway for shifts absent major new developments.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$10,305
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 28, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Kaugnay

icon for Will Chou Chun-mi win the next Pingtung County Magistrate election?

Will Chou Chun-mi win the next Pingtung County Magistrate election?

88%
icon for Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?

Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?

63%
icon for Will Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?

Will Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?

88%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 6 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Chen Chen-chung" sa 78%, sinusundan ng "Wu Shu-chin" sa 23%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 78¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 78% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner" ay naka-generate ng $10.3K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Aug 14, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner," i-browse ang 6 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner" ay "Chen Chen-chung" sa 78%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 78% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Wu Shu-chin" sa 23%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.