Madeleine Dean’s commanding position in the PA-04 race stems from the district’s consistent Democratic lean across Montgomery and Berks counties, her incumbency since 2019, and service on the House Appropriations and Foreign Affairs committees. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Aurora Stuski, the unopposed Republican nominee following the May 19 primaries, faces structural headwinds typical of challengers in this environment. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late national shifts in turnout or economic conditions could narrow margins in a manner seen in prior cycles.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updatePA-04 House Election Winner
PA-04 House Election Winner
$19,259 Vol.
$19,259 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Madeleine Dean (D)
95%
Aurora Stuski (R)
6%
$19,259 Vol.
$19,259 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Madeleine Dean (D)
$6,759 Vol.
95%
Aurora Stuski (R)
$12,501 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Madeleine Dean’s commanding position in the PA-04 race stems from the district’s consistent Democratic lean across Montgomery and Berks counties, her incumbency since 2019, and service on the House Appropriations and Foreign Affairs committees. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Aurora Stuski, the unopposed Republican nominee following the May 19 primaries, faces structural headwinds typical of challengers in this environment. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late national shifts in turnout or economic conditions could narrow margins in a manner seen in prior cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$19,259Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Madeleine Dean’s commanding position in the PA-04 race stems from the district’s consistent Democratic lean across Montgomery and Berks counties, her incumbency since 2019, and service on the House Appropriations and Foreign Affairs committees. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Aurora Stuski, the unopposed Republican nominee following the May 19 primaries, faces structural headwinds typical of challengers in this environment. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late national shifts in turnout or economic conditions could narrow margins in a manner seen in prior cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$19,259Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Madeleine Dean’s commanding position in the PA-04 race stems from the district’s consistent Democratic lean across Montgomery and Berks counties, her incumbency since 2019, and service on the House Appropriations and Foreign Affairs committees. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Aurora Stuski, the unopposed Republican nominee following the May 19 primaries, faces structural headwinds typical of challengers in this environment. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late national shifts in turnout or economic conditions could narrow margins in a manner seen in prior cycles.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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