**Persistent subtropical warmth and high humidity kept overnight lows in Houston elevated on September 9, 2026, aligning trader consensus with the 78–79 °F bin as the clear favorite.** National Weather Service observations at Hobby Airport recorded a minimum of 79 °F, just above the long-term September 9 average low of 74 °F but consistent with recent daily lows in the upper 70s amid a moist, unstable air mass. Scattered thunderstorms and tropical moisture maintained dew points near 75 °F, limiting radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies. No strong cold front or dry-air intrusion arrived to drop temperatures further, while model guidance and climatological analogs supported only modest overnight drops into the mid-to-upper 70s. The secondary 76–77 °F probability captured residual uncertainty around exact timing of any clearing, but the dominant warm pattern left lower bins with minimal market-implied odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Houston on September 9?
71°F or below 9%
74-75°F 8%
72-73°F 2%
80-81°F <1%
$1,590 Vol.
$1,590 Vol.
71°F or below
9%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
34%
78-79°F
67%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
71°F or below 9%
74-75°F 8%
72-73°F 2%
80-81°F <1%
$1,590 Vol.
$1,590 Vol.
71°F or below
9%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
34%
78-79°F
67%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 7, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent subtropical warmth and high humidity kept overnight lows in Houston elevated on September 9, 2026, aligning trader consensus with the 78–79 °F bin as the clear favorite.** National Weather Service observations at Hobby Airport recorded a minimum of 79 °F, just above the long-term September 9 average low of 74 °F but consistent with recent daily lows in the upper 70s amid a moist, unstable air mass. Scattered thunderstorms and tropical moisture maintained dew points near 75 °F, limiting radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies. No strong cold front or dry-air intrusion arrived to drop temperatures further, while model guidance and climatological analogs supported only modest overnight drops into the mid-to-upper 70s. The secondary 76–77 °F probability captured residual uncertainty around exact timing of any clearing, but the dominant warm pattern left lower bins with minimal market-implied odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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