Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 10 point to overnight lows near 13–15°C under southerly winds of 10–20 km/h and extensive cloud cover, which limits radiative cooling and keeps surface temperatures from dropping sharply. Coastal location and the influence of the cool Benguela Current further moderate extremes, while spring climatology typically features minima around 10–12°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 13–14°C because recent model consensus and real-time observations show only modest variability from these conditions. Differentiation between adjacent thresholds hinges on precise wind-driven mixing, dew-point trends near 13°C, and whether any brief clear spells allow additional cooling before dawn. Updated NHC-style guidance or local station data will likely refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 10?
9°C or below 89%
11°C 76%
14°C 44%
12°C 43%
9°C or below
89%
10°C
9%
11°C
76%
12°C
43%
13°C
50%
14°C
44%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
9°C or below 89%
11°C 76%
14°C 44%
12°C 43%
9°C or below
89%
10°C
9%
11°C
76%
12°C
43%
13°C
50%
14°C
44%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 10 point to overnight lows near 13–15°C under southerly winds of 10–20 km/h and extensive cloud cover, which limits radiative cooling and keeps surface temperatures from dropping sharply. Coastal location and the influence of the cool Benguela Current further moderate extremes, while spring climatology typically features minima around 10–12°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 13–14°C because recent model consensus and real-time observations show only modest variability from these conditions. Differentiation between adjacent thresholds hinges on precise wind-driven mixing, dew-point trends near 13°C, and whether any brief clear spells allow additional cooling before dawn. Updated NHC-style guidance or local station data will likely refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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