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icon for Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Mundo·Canada

Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Mundo·Canada

Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Bernard Drainville 70%

Karine Laflamme 26%

Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé 3.5%

Yanick Godbout 3.3%

Polymarket
BAGO

Bernard Drainville 70%

Karine Laflamme 26%

Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé 3.5%

Yanick Godbout 3.3%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$790 Vol.

70%

icon for Karine Laflamme

Karine Laflamme

$742 Vol.

26%

icon for Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé

Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé

$810 Vol.

3%

icon for Yanick Godbout

Yanick Godbout

$237 Vol.

3%

icon for Brittany Blais

Brittany Blais

$442 Vol.

3%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Bernard Drainville holds the strongest position in the Lévis riding for the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election as the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA and current Minister of Economy, Innovation and Energy. Recent polling aggregators project his party with roughly 75 percent odds of victory in the district, reflecting his 2022 win and local voter base amid a broader campaign where the CAQ faces provincial headwinds. Other declared candidates, including Karine Laflamme of the Conservative Party of Quebec, Yanick Godbout of the Parti Québécois, Brittany Blais of the Quebec Liberal Party, and Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé of Québec solidaire, trail in projections, consistent with lower implied probabilities in the market. Nomination deadlines close September 17, leaving limited room for major shifts before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$3,021
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Bernard Drainville holds the strongest position in the Lévis riding for the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election as the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA and current Minister of Economy, Innovation and Energy. Recent polling aggregators project his party with roughly 75 percent odds of victory in the district, reflecting his 2022 win and local voter base amid a broader campaign where the CAQ faces provincial headwinds. Other declared candidates, including Karine Laflamme of the Conservative Party of Quebec, Yanick Godbout of the Parti Québécois, Brittany Blais of the Quebec Liberal Party, and Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé of Québec solidaire, trail in projections, consistent with lower implied probabilities in the market. Nomination deadlines close September 17, leaving limited room for major shifts before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$3,021
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Bernard Drainville" sa 70%, sinusundan ng "Karine Laflamme" sa 26%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 70¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 70% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 31, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ay "Bernard Drainville" sa 70%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 70% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Karine Laflamme" sa 26%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Lévis Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.