Illinois's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests, reinforced by Kamala Harris's 2024 margin of roughly 11 points, underpins trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton at 95.8 percent. The open seat created by Dick Durbin's retirement drew a competitive Democratic primary won by Lieutenant Governor Stratton in March 2026 with Governor JB Pritzker's backing, while Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, emerged from a fragmented field with limited resources. No general election polls have surfaced, yet forecasts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting fundraising disparities and the absence of recent Republican statewide victories since 2010. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political shifts, late scandals, or turnout surprises, though structural advantages in Chicago and suburban areas make such outcomes unlikely before November 3.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateIllinois Senate Election Winner
Illinois Senate Election Winner
$32,370 Vol.
$32,370 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
96%
Don Tracy (R)
4%
$32,370 Vol.
$32,370 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
$16,811 Vol.
96%
Don Tracy (R)
$15,559 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests, reinforced by Kamala Harris's 2024 margin of roughly 11 points, underpins trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton at 95.8 percent. The open seat created by Dick Durbin's retirement drew a competitive Democratic primary won by Lieutenant Governor Stratton in March 2026 with Governor JB Pritzker's backing, while Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, emerged from a fragmented field with limited resources. No general election polls have surfaced, yet forecasts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting fundraising disparities and the absence of recent Republican statewide victories since 2010. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political shifts, late scandals, or turnout surprises, though structural advantages in Chicago and suburban areas make such outcomes unlikely before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$32,370Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests, reinforced by Kamala Harris's 2024 margin of roughly 11 points, underpins trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton at 95.8 percent. The open seat created by Dick Durbin's retirement drew a competitive Democratic primary won by Lieutenant Governor Stratton in March 2026 with Governor JB Pritzker's backing, while Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, emerged from a fragmented field with limited resources. No general election polls have surfaced, yet forecasts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting fundraising disparities and the absence of recent Republican statewide victories since 2010. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political shifts, late scandals, or turnout surprises, though structural advantages in Chicago and suburban areas make such outcomes unlikely before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$32,370Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's consistent Democratic lean in statewide contests, reinforced by Kamala Harris's 2024 margin of roughly 11 points, underpins trader consensus favoring Juliana Stratton at 95.8 percent. The open seat created by Dick Durbin's retirement drew a competitive Democratic primary won by Lieutenant Governor Stratton in March 2026 with Governor JB Pritzker's backing, while Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, emerged from a fragmented field with limited resources. No general election polls have surfaced, yet forecasts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting fundraising disparities and the absence of recent Republican statewide victories since 2010. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political shifts, late scandals, or turnout surprises, though structural advantages in Chicago and suburban areas make such outcomes unlikely before November 3.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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