Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida Senate special election due to the state's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump's 13-point 2024 margin, combined with her incumbency advantage after appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio. Moody secured her nomination easily in the August primary with strong party backing and substantial fundraising, while Democrat Angie Nixon's upset primary victory over Alex Vindman has drawn attention to her progressive positions. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus pricing Moody near 92 percent. A shift would require significant late-cycle developments such as major scandals, unexpected turnout surges, or sharp national political changes before the November 3 vote.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$111,823 Vol.
$111,823 Vol.
Ashley Moody (R)
93%
Angie Nixon (D)
8%
$111,823 Vol.
$111,823 Vol.
Ashley Moody (R)
$56,363 Vol.
93%
Angie Nixon (D)
$55,461 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida Senate special election due to the state's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump's 13-point 2024 margin, combined with her incumbency advantage after appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio. Moody secured her nomination easily in the August primary with strong party backing and substantial fundraising, while Democrat Angie Nixon's upset primary victory over Alex Vindman has drawn attention to her progressive positions. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus pricing Moody near 92 percent. A shift would require significant late-cycle developments such as major scandals, unexpected turnout surges, or sharp national political changes before the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Volume
$111,823Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida Senate special election due to the state's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump's 13-point 2024 margin, combined with her incumbency advantage after appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio. Moody secured her nomination easily in the August primary with strong party backing and substantial fundraising, while Democrat Angie Nixon's upset primary victory over Alex Vindman has drawn attention to her progressive positions. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus pricing Moody near 92 percent. A shift would require significant late-cycle developments such as major scandals, unexpected turnout surges, or sharp national political changes before the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$111,823Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida Senate special election due to the state's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump's 13-point 2024 margin, combined with her incumbency advantage after appointment to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio. Moody secured her nomination easily in the August primary with strong party backing and substantial fundraising, while Democrat Angie Nixon's upset primary victory over Alex Vindman has drawn attention to her progressive positions. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus pricing Moody near 92 percent. A shift would require significant late-cycle developments such as major scandals, unexpected turnout surges, or sharp national political changes before the November 3 vote.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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