Traders assign a 99.5% implied probability that Donald Trump remains President through September 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any active removal process and the brief nine-day window remaining. His second term, which began after the 2024 election, extends to 2029 absent resignation, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or successful impeachment and conviction by Congress. No recent legislative actions, cabinet announcements, or health developments have signaled an imminent change, and historical patterns show such outcomes require weeks or months to unfold. The only realistic paths that could still shift odds involve an unforeseen acute medical event or sudden resignation, though neither has materialized in verifiable reporting to date.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update<1% tsansa
$1,334,245 Vol.
$1,334,245 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<1% tsansa
$1,334,245 Vol.
$1,334,245 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign a 99.5% implied probability that Donald Trump remains President through September 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any active removal process and the brief nine-day window remaining. His second term, which began after the 2024 election, extends to 2029 absent resignation, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or successful impeachment and conviction by Congress. No recent legislative actions, cabinet announcements, or health developments have signaled an imminent change, and historical patterns show such outcomes require weeks or months to unfold. The only realistic paths that could still shift odds involve an unforeseen acute medical event or sudden resignation, though neither has materialized in verifiable reporting to date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ET
Volume
$1,334,245Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign a 99.5% implied probability that Donald Trump remains President through September 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any active removal process and the brief nine-day window remaining. His second term, which began after the 2024 election, extends to 2029 absent resignation, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or successful impeachment and conviction by Congress. No recent legislative actions, cabinet announcements, or health developments have signaled an imminent change, and historical patterns show such outcomes require weeks or months to unfold. The only realistic paths that could still shift odds involve an unforeseen acute medical event or sudden resignation, though neither has materialized in verifiable reporting to date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,334,245Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 99.5% implied probability that Donald Trump remains President through September 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any active removal process and the brief nine-day window remaining. His second term, which began after the 2024 election, extends to 2029 absent resignation, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or successful impeachment and conviction by Congress. No recent legislative actions, cabinet announcements, or health developments have signaled an imminent change, and historical patterns show such outcomes require weeks or months to unfold. The only realistic paths that could still shift odds involve an unforeseen acute medical event or sudden resignation, though neither has materialized in verifiable reporting to date.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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