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icon for Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner
Politika·Canada

Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner

icon for Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner
Politika·Canada

Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner

Mike Derry 95%

Kyle Campbell 3.9%

John Roggeveen <1%

Kyle Joseph <1%

Polymarket

$21,105 Vol.

Mike Derry 95%

Kyle Campbell 3.9%

John Roggeveen <1%

Kyle Joseph <1%

Polymarket

$21,105 Vol.

icon for Mike Derry

Mike Derry

$11,215 Vol.

95%

icon for Kyle Campbell

Kyle Campbell

$7,874 Vol.

4%

icon for John Roggeveen

John Roggeveen

$1,141 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kyle Joseph

Kyle Joseph

$876 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).Mike Derry holds a commanding lead in the Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election market due to the riding's established United Conservative Party dominance, where the party secured 56% support in the prior general election. Derry secured the UCP nomination in June 2026 after defeating Calgary city councillor Dan McLean in a membership vote, gaining endorsement from Premier Danielle Smith and party officials. The by-election, triggered by the May 2026 resignation of former cabinet minister Rebecca Schulz, occurs on September 14 with advance voting already underway. The NDP candidate Kyle Campbell and minor-party contenders face structural barriers in this south Calgary suburban district. Trader consensus reflects these partisan patterns and limited time for shifts before election day, though late developments such as unusually low turnout or unforeseen campaign events could still alter results.

A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).
Volume
$21,105
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 14, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 21, 2026, 6:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).Mike Derry holds a commanding lead in the Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election market due to the riding's established United Conservative Party dominance, where the party secured 56% support in the prior general election. Derry secured the UCP nomination in June 2026 after defeating Calgary city councillor Dan McLean in a membership vote, gaining endorsement from Premier Danielle Smith and party officials. The by-election, triggered by the May 2026 resignation of former cabinet minister Rebecca Schulz, occurs on September 14 with advance voting already underway. The NDP candidate Kyle Campbell and minor-party contenders face structural barriers in this south Calgary suburban district. Trader consensus reflects these partisan patterns and limited time for shifts before election day, though late developments such as unusually low turnout or unforeseen campaign events could still alter results.

A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).
Volume
$21,105
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 14, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 21, 2026, 6:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Kaugnay

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 4 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Mike Derry" sa 95%, sinusundan ng "Kyle Campbell" sa 4%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 95¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 95% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner" ay naka-generate ng $21.1K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Aug 21, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner," i-browse ang 4 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner" ay "Mike Derry" sa 95%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 95% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Kyle Campbell" sa 4%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.