Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a commanding lead in the CA-13 House race due to the district’s post-redistricting partisan lean, rated Lean Democratic or Tilt Democratic by major forecasters. Gray advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary and benefits from a substantial fundraising advantage over Republican Kevin Lincoln, along with recent endorsements from law enforcement groups. The seat flipped narrowly to Gray in 2024, but adjusted boundaries and voter composition have improved the baseline for Democrats. Trader consensus reflects these structural and resource factors heading into the November general election. Late developments such as national political shifts, turnout surges, or candidate-specific events could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$18,793 Vol.
$18,793 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Adam Gray (D)
93%
Kevin Lincoln (R)
4%
$18,793 Vol.
$18,793 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Adam Gray (D)
$9,882 Vol.
93%
Kevin Lincoln (R)
$8,911 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a commanding lead in the CA-13 House race due to the district’s post-redistricting partisan lean, rated Lean Democratic or Tilt Democratic by major forecasters. Gray advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary and benefits from a substantial fundraising advantage over Republican Kevin Lincoln, along with recent endorsements from law enforcement groups. The seat flipped narrowly to Gray in 2024, but adjusted boundaries and voter composition have improved the baseline for Democrats. Trader consensus reflects these structural and resource factors heading into the November general election. Late developments such as national political shifts, turnout surges, or candidate-specific events could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
Volume
$18,793Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a commanding lead in the CA-13 House race due to the district’s post-redistricting partisan lean, rated Lean Democratic or Tilt Democratic by major forecasters. Gray advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary and benefits from a substantial fundraising advantage over Republican Kevin Lincoln, along with recent endorsements from law enforcement groups. The seat flipped narrowly to Gray in 2024, but adjusted boundaries and voter composition have improved the baseline for Democrats. Trader consensus reflects these structural and resource factors heading into the November general election. Late developments such as national political shifts, turnout surges, or candidate-specific events could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,793Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a commanding lead in the CA-13 House race due to the district’s post-redistricting partisan lean, rated Lean Democratic or Tilt Democratic by major forecasters. Gray advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary and benefits from a substantial fundraising advantage over Republican Kevin Lincoln, along with recent endorsements from law enforcement groups. The seat flipped narrowly to Gray in 2024, but adjusted boundaries and voter composition have improved the baseline for Democrats. Trader consensus reflects these structural and resource factors heading into the November general election. Late developments such as national political shifts, turnout surges, or candidate-specific events could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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