Recent opinion polls for Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke under Elif Eralp holding or extending a narrow lead over the CDU with Stefan Evers, with Linke support rising sharply from 12.2% in 2023 to the 19-22% range while the CDU has fallen from 28.2%. Key surveys from Forsa, Civey, and Infratest dimap in August place Linke ahead or tied, reflecting voter shifts away from the governing CDU-SPD coalition amid stable AfD and Green numbers. This polling trajectory underpins the 68% trader consensus favoring Linke outpolling the CDU, though the contest remains tight with limited time before election day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateCDU
CDU
This market will resolve to “CDU” if CDU wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Linke in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Linke” if Linke wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than CDU in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both CDU and Linke receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 20, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “CDU” if CDU wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Linke in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Linke” if Linke wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than CDU in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both CDU and Linke receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent opinion polls for Berlin's September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show Die Linke under Elif Eralp holding or extending a narrow lead over the CDU with Stefan Evers, with Linke support rising sharply from 12.2% in 2023 to the 19-22% range while the CDU has fallen from 28.2%. Key surveys from Forsa, Civey, and Infratest dimap in August place Linke ahead or tied, reflecting voter shifts away from the governing CDU-SPD coalition amid stable AfD and Green numbers. This polling trajectory underpins the 68% trader consensus favoring Linke outpolling the CDU, though the contest remains tight with limited time before election day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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