Recent inflation data showing South Korea’s CPI rising to 3.1% year-over-year in August, alongside core inflation accelerating to 3.4%, combined with the Bank of Korea’s back-to-back 25 basis point hikes in July and August that lifted the benchmark to 3%, underpin the market-implied odds favoring no change or a modest November increase. Robust semiconductor-driven GDP growth, now projected at 3.3% for 2026, has strengthened demand-side pressures while the Federal Reserve’s recent 25 basis point hike widened the policy rate differential to 1 percentage point, adding currency and housing market considerations. Analysts note the BOK’s emphasis on evaluating lagged effects of prior tightening and its dot plot signaling a potential 3.25% endpoint by year-end, with November viewed as the more probable window for any further adjustment amid October’s data review.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNo Change 53%
25 bps hike 41%
50+ bps hike 5.6%
25 bps cut <1%
$25,297 Vol.
$25,297 Vol.
Nov 25, 2026
50+ bps cut
<1%
25 bps cut
<1%
No Change
53%
25 bps hike
41%
50+ bps hike
6%
No Change 53%
25 bps hike 41%
50+ bps hike 5.6%
25 bps cut <1%
$25,297 Vol.
$25,297 Vol.
Nov 25, 2026
50+ bps cut
$1,049 Vol.
<1%
25 bps cut
$721 Vol.
<1%
No Change
$12,666 Vol.
53%
25 bps hike
$9,893 Vol.
41%
50+ bps hike
$968 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.Recent inflation data showing South Korea’s CPI rising to 3.1% year-over-year in August, alongside core inflation accelerating to 3.4%, combined with the Bank of Korea’s back-to-back 25 basis point hikes in July and August that lifted the benchmark to 3%, underpin the market-implied odds favoring no change or a modest November increase. Robust semiconductor-driven GDP growth, now projected at 3.3% for 2026, has strengthened demand-side pressures while the Federal Reserve’s recent 25 basis point hike widened the policy rate differential to 1 percentage point, adding currency and housing market considerations. Analysts note the BOK’s emphasis on evaluating lagged effects of prior tightening and its dot plot signaling a potential 3.25% endpoint by year-end, with November viewed as the more probable window for any further adjustment amid October’s data review.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Volume
$25,297Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 26, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.Recent inflation data showing South Korea’s CPI rising to 3.1% year-over-year in August, alongside core inflation accelerating to 3.4%, combined with the Bank of Korea’s back-to-back 25 basis point hikes in July and August that lifted the benchmark to 3%, underpin the market-implied odds favoring no change or a modest November increase. Robust semiconductor-driven GDP growth, now projected at 3.3% for 2026, has strengthened demand-side pressures while the Federal Reserve’s recent 25 basis point hike widened the policy rate differential to 1 percentage point, adding currency and housing market considerations. Analysts note the BOK’s emphasis on evaluating lagged effects of prior tightening and its dot plot signaling a potential 3.25% endpoint by year-end, with November viewed as the more probable window for any further adjustment amid October’s data review.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Volume
$25,297Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 26, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent inflation data showing South Korea’s CPI rising to 3.1% year-over-year in August, alongside core inflation accelerating to 3.4%, combined with the Bank of Korea’s back-to-back 25 basis point hikes in July and August that lifted the benchmark to 3%, underpin the market-implied odds favoring no change or a modest November increase. Robust semiconductor-driven GDP growth, now projected at 3.3% for 2026, has strengthened demand-side pressures while the Federal Reserve’s recent 25 basis point hike widened the policy rate differential to 1 percentage point, adding currency and housing market considerations. Analysts note the BOK’s emphasis on evaluating lagged effects of prior tightening and its dot plot signaling a potential 3.25% endpoint by year-end, with November viewed as the more probable window for any further adjustment amid October’s data review.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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