Democratic Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley holds an 82.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin gubernatorial race against Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. The open-seat contest follows incumbent Tony Evers’s decision not to seek a third term. Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in an August primary upset over state Rep. Francesca Hong after receiving Evers’s endorsement and consolidating establishment support. Tiffany won the Republican primary with backing from former President Trump. Early general-election polling shows a tight race, with a recent Marquette Law School survey and polling average placing Crowley narrowly ahead. Both candidates have aligned on select issues including wolf delisting and data-center restrictions. A scheduled October 21 debate and November 3 election remain key upcoming events that could influence trader assessments of the closely contested outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWisconsin Governor Election Winner
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
$578,835 ปริมาณ
$578,835 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
David Crowley (D)
83%
Tom Tiffany (R)
18%
$578,835 ปริมาณ
$578,835 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
David Crowley (D)
$311,246 ปริมาณ
83%
Tom Tiffany (R)
$267,589 ปริมาณ
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley holds an 82.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin gubernatorial race against Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. The open-seat contest follows incumbent Tony Evers’s decision not to seek a third term. Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in an August primary upset over state Rep. Francesca Hong after receiving Evers’s endorsement and consolidating establishment support. Tiffany won the Republican primary with backing from former President Trump. Early general-election polling shows a tight race, with a recent Marquette Law School survey and polling average placing Crowley narrowly ahead. Both candidates have aligned on select issues including wolf delisting and data-center restrictions. A scheduled October 21 debate and November 3 election remain key upcoming events that could influence trader assessments of the closely contested outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$578,835วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley holds an 82.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin gubernatorial race against Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. The open-seat contest follows incumbent Tony Evers’s decision not to seek a third term. Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in an August primary upset over state Rep. Francesca Hong after receiving Evers’s endorsement and consolidating establishment support. Tiffany won the Republican primary with backing from former President Trump. Early general-election polling shows a tight race, with a recent Marquette Law School survey and polling average placing Crowley narrowly ahead. Both candidates have aligned on select issues including wolf delisting and data-center restrictions. A scheduled October 21 debate and November 3 election remain key upcoming events that could influence trader assessments of the closely contested outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$578,835วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley holds an 82.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin gubernatorial race against Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany. The open-seat contest follows incumbent Tony Evers’s decision not to seek a third term. Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in an August primary upset over state Rep. Francesca Hong after receiving Evers’s endorsement and consolidating establishment support. Tiffany won the Republican primary with backing from former President Trump. Early general-election polling shows a tight race, with a recent Marquette Law School survey and polling average placing Crowley narrowly ahead. Both candidates have aligned on select issues including wolf delisting and data-center restrictions. A scheduled October 21 debate and November 3 election remain key upcoming events that could influence trader assessments of the closely contested outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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