Ukraine’s presidential election remains postponed under extended martial law, which the constitution bars during active conflict, with the latest extension keeping the prohibition in place into late 2026. Trader focus centers on whether recent domestic pressure—sparked by former Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov’s August 2026 call for a vote after his dismissal—combined with U.S. diplomatic pushes and Zelenskyy’s low polling numbers will force legislative action or a ceasefire-linked timeline. Ongoing U.S.-brokered peace talks, including planned September meetings after Russia’s State Duma vote on September 20, represent the clearest near-term catalysts that could alter martial-law status or prompt an election bill. Polling shows Zelenskyy trailing potential challengers, underscoring internal incentives for timing debates, while security and legal hurdles continue to limit near-term resolution prospects.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วZelenskyy announces Ukraine preparing for fresh talks with Trump’s envoys amid ongoing conflict
August 31, 2026 dips to 0%2%
President Zelenskyy stated Ukraine was preparing for new talks with U.S. envoys, emphasizing ongoing conflict and security challenges, which maintained uncertainty about election timing and contributed to market price declines.
No official announcement of 2025 election date as martial law continues
August 31, 2026 dips to 0%1%
By late August 2026, no official date for a 2025 presidential election was announced due to ongoing martial law, confirming market expectations that elections would be held later, reflected in the August 31, 2026 outcome price falling to 0%.
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