United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Tomsk Oblast Legislative Duma election, held September 18–20, 2026, with partial counts showing the party at roughly 45% on party lists and ahead in 19 of 21 single-mandate districts. This positioning stems from incumbency advantages, federal alignment, and exclusion of certain opposition lists such as Yabloko. Other parties including New People, CPRF, LDPR, and A Just Russia trail significantly in early returns, consistent with patterns in Russian regional contests. Traders assign United Russia a 98% implied probability of finishing first, reflecting the wide margin observed so far. Full official tallies or legal challenges to district results remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUnited Russia 98.2%
CPRF 1.4%
LDPR <1%
A Just Russia <1%
$10,225 ปริมาณ
$10,225 ปริมาณ
Jul 31, 2027
United Russia
98%
CPRF
1%
LDPR
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
New People
<1%
United Russia 98.2%
CPRF 1.4%
LDPR <1%
A Just Russia <1%
$10,225 ปริมาณ
$10,225 ปริมาณ
Jul 31, 2027
United Russia
$6,158 ปริมาณ
98%
CPRF
$1,129 ปริมาณ
1%
LDPR
$661 ปริมาณ
<1%
A Just Russia
$783 ปริมาณ
<1%
New People
$1,495 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tomsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tomsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Tomsk Oblast Legislative Duma election, held September 18–20, 2026, with partial counts showing the party at roughly 45% on party lists and ahead in 19 of 21 single-mandate districts. This positioning stems from incumbency advantages, federal alignment, and exclusion of certain opposition lists such as Yabloko. Other parties including New People, CPRF, LDPR, and A Just Russia trail significantly in early returns, consistent with patterns in Russian regional contests. Traders assign United Russia a 98% implied probability of finishing first, reflecting the wide margin observed so far. Full official tallies or legal challenges to district results remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome before market resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tomsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tomsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tomsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tomsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 28, 2026, 12:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,225วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 28, 2026, 12:04 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tomsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tomsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Tomsk Oblast Legislative Duma election, held September 18–20, 2026, with partial counts showing the party at roughly 45% on party lists and ahead in 19 of 21 single-mandate districts. This positioning stems from incumbency advantages, federal alignment, and exclusion of certain opposition lists such as Yabloko. Other parties including New People, CPRF, LDPR, and A Just Russia trail significantly in early returns, consistent with patterns in Russian regional contests. Traders assign United Russia a 98% implied probability of finishing first, reflecting the wide margin observed so far. Full official tallies or legal challenges to district results remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome before market resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tomsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tomsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Duma of Tomsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tomsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Tomsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,225วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 28, 2026, 12:04 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Tomsk Oblast Legislative Duma election, held September 18–20, 2026, with partial counts showing the party at roughly 45% on party lists and ahead in 19 of 21 single-mandate districts. This positioning stems from incumbency advantages, federal alignment, and exclusion of certain opposition lists such as Yabloko. Other parties including New People, CPRF, LDPR, and A Just Russia trail significantly in early returns, consistent with patterns in Russian regional contests. Traders assign United Russia a 98% implied probability of finishing first, reflecting the wide margin observed so far. Full official tallies or legal challenges to district results remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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