SpaceX's shares have traded near $152 recently, supporting a market capitalization of approximately $2.07 trillion and positioning the $2.00–2.25 trillion bin as the leading outcome with 47.5% implied probability. Following its June 2026 IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation, the stock surged above $225 before correcting amid elevated multiples exceeding 100 times 2025 revenue and heavy capital expenditures across Starlink, launch, and AI segments. Recent developments, including Nasdaq 100 inclusion at a 2.82% weight and large shareholder distributions, have reinforced trader focus on near-term price stability into month-end. With no major catalysts before September 30, market-implied odds reflect consensus on contained volatility around current levels rather than outsized moves.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$2.00-$2.25T 48%
$1.75-$2.00T 29%
$2.25T+ 19.0%
$1.50-$1.75T 4.0%
$21,694 ปริมาณ
$21,694 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
<$1.00T
<1%
$1.00-$1.25T
<1%
$1.25-$1.50T
2%
$1.50-$1.75T
4%
$1.75-$2.00T
29%
$2.00-$2.25T
48%
$2.25T+
19%
$2.00-$2.25T 48%
$1.75-$2.00T 29%
$2.25T+ 19.0%
$1.50-$1.75T 4.0%
$21,694 ปริมาณ
$21,694 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
<$1.00T
$752 ปริมาณ
<1%
$1.00-$1.25T
$717 ปริมาณ
<1%
$1.25-$1.50T
$2,268 ปริมาณ
2%
$1.50-$1.75T
$1,382 ปริมาณ
4%
$1.75-$2.00T
$9,676 ปริมาณ
29%
$2.00-$2.25T
$3,654 ปริมาณ
48%
$2.25T+
$3,245 ปริมาณ
19%
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX's shares have traded near $152 recently, supporting a market capitalization of approximately $2.07 trillion and positioning the $2.00–2.25 trillion bin as the leading outcome with 47.5% implied probability. Following its June 2026 IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation, the stock surged above $225 before correcting amid elevated multiples exceeding 100 times 2025 revenue and heavy capital expenditures across Starlink, launch, and AI segments. Recent developments, including Nasdaq 100 inclusion at a 2.82% weight and large shareholder distributions, have reinforced trader focus on near-term price stability into month-end. With no major catalysts before September 30, market-implied odds reflect consensus on contained volatility around current levels rather than outsized moves.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,694วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX's shares have traded near $152 recently, supporting a market capitalization of approximately $2.07 trillion and positioning the $2.00–2.25 trillion bin as the leading outcome with 47.5% implied probability. Following its June 2026 IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation, the stock surged above $225 before correcting amid elevated multiples exceeding 100 times 2025 revenue and heavy capital expenditures across Starlink, launch, and AI segments. Recent developments, including Nasdaq 100 inclusion at a 2.82% weight and large shareholder distributions, have reinforced trader focus on near-term price stability into month-end. With no major catalysts before September 30, market-implied odds reflect consensus on contained volatility around current levels rather than outsized moves.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,694วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's shares have traded near $152 recently, supporting a market capitalization of approximately $2.07 trillion and positioning the $2.00–2.25 trillion bin as the leading outcome with 47.5% implied probability. Following its June 2026 IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation, the stock surged above $225 before correcting amid elevated multiples exceeding 100 times 2025 revenue and heavy capital expenditures across Starlink, launch, and AI segments. Recent developments, including Nasdaq 100 inclusion at a 2.82% weight and large shareholder distributions, have reinforced trader focus on near-term price stability into month-end. With no major catalysts before September 30, market-implied odds reflect consensus on contained volatility around current levels rather than outsized moves.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be at least $2.25T at the end of October 2026?
41%
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of September 2026?
57%
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of September 2026?
85%
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย