Incumbent Republican John Joyce holds a commanding lead in the Pennsylvania 13th congressional district race, reflecting the district's strong Republican lean and his established position. The rural South Central Pennsylvania seat, rated Safe or Solid Republican by forecasters including Cook, Sabato, and Decision Desk HQ, features a Partisan Voter Index around R+23 and delivered Joyce 74 percent in 2024. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the May 19 primaries, while Joyce maintains a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million in cash on hand compared with under $40,000 for Democrat Beth Farnham. Trader consensus at 97.8 percent for Joyce aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the margin before the November 3 general election, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited realistic paths for an upset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPA-13 House Election Winner
$17,812 ปริมาณ
$17,812 ปริมาณ
John Joyce (R)
98%
Beth Farnham (D)
3%
$17,812 ปริมาณ
$17,812 ปริมาณ
John Joyce (R)
98%
Beth Farnham (D)
3%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Joyce holds a commanding lead in the Pennsylvania 13th congressional district race, reflecting the district's strong Republican lean and his established position. The rural South Central Pennsylvania seat, rated Safe or Solid Republican by forecasters including Cook, Sabato, and Decision Desk HQ, features a Partisan Voter Index around R+23 and delivered Joyce 74 percent in 2024. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the May 19 primaries, while Joyce maintains a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million in cash on hand compared with under $40,000 for Democrat Beth Farnham. Trader consensus at 97.8 percent for Joyce aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national political shift could theoretically narrow the margin before the November 3 general election, though historical patterns in comparable districts suggest limited realistic paths for an upset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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